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Hamburg: Andrej Nedic vs Carlos Taberner

How the prediction market is pricing "Hamburg: Andrej Nedic vs Carlos Taberner" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Hamburg: Andrej Nedic vs Carlos Taberner Set 1 Winner 100% Hamburg: Andrej Nedic vs Carlos Taberner Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Hamburg: Andrej Nedic vs Carlos Taberner Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Hamburg: Andrej Nedic vs Carlos Taberner Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% Volume: $361K Liquidity: $213K Closes: 20 Aug 2026
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Hamburg: Andrej Nedic vs Carlos Taberner

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Hamburg: Andrej Nedic vs Carlos Taberner Set 1 Winner100%
Hamburg: Andrej Nedic vs Carlos Taberner Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Hamburg: Andrej Nedic vs Carlos Taberner Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Hamburg: Andrej Nedic vs Carlos Taberner Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Hamburg: Andrej Nedic vs Carlos Taberner Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Hamburg: Andrej Nedic vs Carlos Taberner Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
Hamburg: Andrej Nedic vs Carlos Taberner Total Sets: O/U 2.550%
Hamburg: Andrej Nedic vs Carlos Taberner Match O/U 21.550%
Hamburg: Andrej Nedic vs Carlos Taberner Set Handicap +/-1.550%
Hamburg: Andrej Nedic vs Carlos Taberner Match O/U 22.550%
Hamburg: Andrej Nedic vs Carlos Taberner Set Handicap +/-1.550%
Hamburg: Andrej Nedic vs Carlos Taberner Match O/U 23.550%
Completed Match1%
Hamburg: Andrej Nedic vs Carlos Taberner0%
Hamburg: Andrej Nedic vs Carlos Taberner Set 2 Winner0%
Hamburg: Andrej Nedic vs Carlos Taberner Set 2 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Hamburg: Andrej Nedic vs Carlos Taberner. This market refers to the tennis match between Andrej Nedic and Carlos Taberner in the Hamburg, originally scheduled for August 13, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrej Nedic' if An…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Hamburg: Andrej Nedic vs Carlos Taberner. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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Related Topics

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