Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Champions League Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
26% | 74% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Champions League Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
26% | 74% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Champions League Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Champions League Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Champions League Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Champions League Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Champions League Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Mallorca Championships: Ethan Quinn vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 2 Winner | 26% Quinn | 74% Fokina |
| Mallorca Championships: Ethan Quinn vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 22% Ethan Quinn | 79% Alejandro Davidovich Fokina |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Mallorca Championships: Ethan Quinn vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Mallorca Championships: Ethan Quinn vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Match O/U 22.5 | 60% Over | 41% Under |
| Mallorca Championships: Ethan Quinn vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 26% YES probability for Mallorca Championships: Ethan Quinn vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. This market refers to the tennis match between Ethan Quinn and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the Mallorca Championships, originally scheduled for June 27, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Champions League Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Champions League Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Champions League Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Trade Mallorca Championships: Ethan Quinn vs Alejandro Dav… on Champions League Prediction
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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