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Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante

How the prediction market is pricing "Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante 51% Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Match O/U 21.5 51% Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 1 Winner 50% Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 1 O/U 8.5 50% Volume: $422K Liquidity: $899K Closes: 24 Jul 2026
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Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
51% 49% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
51% 49% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante51%
Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Match O/U 21.551%
Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 1 Winner50%
Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 1 O/U 8.550%
Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 2 Winner50%
Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Total Sets: O/U 2.550%
Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 1 O/U 9.550%
Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set Handicap +/-1.550%
Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Match O/U 22.550%
Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 1 O/U 10.550%
Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Match O/U 23.550%
Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Completed Match4%

Market context

The Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante prediction market currently prices this outcome at 51% YES. This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Tabilo and Thiago Agustin Tirante in the Swedish Open, originally scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aleja…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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Related Topics

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