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Swedish Open: Stefano Travaglia vs Mariano Navone

How the prediction market is pricing "Swedish Open: Stefano Travaglia vs Mariano Navone" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Swedish Open: Stefano Travaglia vs Mariano Navone Set Handicap +/-1.5 60% Swedish Open: Stefano Travaglia vs Mariano Navone Set 1 O/U 8.5 59% Swedish Open: Stefano Travaglia vs Mariano Navone Set 2 O/U 10.5 57% Completed Match 50% Volume: $72K Liquidity: $296K Closes: 22 Jul 2026
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Swedish Open: Stefano Travaglia vs Mariano Navone

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
60% 40% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
60% 40% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Swedish Open: Stefano Travaglia vs Mariano Navone Set Handicap +/-1.560%
Swedish Open: Stefano Travaglia vs Mariano Navone Set 1 O/U 8.559%
Swedish Open: Stefano Travaglia vs Mariano Navone Set 2 O/U 10.557%
Completed Match50%
Swedish Open: Stefano Travaglia vs Mariano Navone Set 1 O/U 9.550%
Swedish Open: Stefano Travaglia vs Mariano Navone Match O/U 21.544%
Swedish Open: Stefano Travaglia vs Mariano Navone Set 2 O/U 9.544%
Swedish Open: Stefano Travaglia vs Mariano Navone Set 2 O/U 8.537%
Swedish Open: Stefano Travaglia vs Mariano Navone Match O/U 22.537%
Swedish Open: Stefano Travaglia vs Mariano Navone Set 1 O/U 10.535%
Swedish Open: Stefano Travaglia vs Mariano Navone Match O/U 23.534%
Swedish Open: Stefano Travaglia vs Mariano Navone Total Sets: O/U 2.532%
Swedish Open: Stefano Travaglia vs Mariano Navone Set 1 Winner25%
Swedish Open: Stefano Travaglia vs Mariano Navone Set 2 Winner25%
Swedish Open: Stefano Travaglia vs Mariano Navone18%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 60% probability to swedish open: stefano travaglia vs mariano navone. This market refers to the tennis match between Stefano Travaglia and Mariano Navone in the Swedish Open, originally scheduled for July 15, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Stefano Trav…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Swedish Open: Stefano Travaglia vs Mariano Navone. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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Related Topics

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