Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 100% |
| O/U 35.5 | 80% |
| Spread -0.5 | 79% |
| Spread -1.5 | 75% |
| O/U 37.5 | 71% |
| Spread -2.5 | 68% |
| O/U 39.5 | 62% |
| Spread -3.5 | 60% |
| Spread -4.5 | 60% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 53% |
| Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| O/U 41.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| Alabama Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 51% |
| Alabama Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Alabama vs. Tennessee: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| O/U 67.5 | 50% |
| O/U 69.5 | 50% |
| O/U 73.5 | 50% |
| O/U 75.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Alabama O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Alabama O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Alabama O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Alabama 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Alabama 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Alabama 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Alabama vs. Tennessee: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Alabama vs. Tennessee: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Alabama vs. Tennessee: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Alabama Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Alabama Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Alabama Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Alabama Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Alabama Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Alabama Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Alabama Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Alabama Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Alabama Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Alabama Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Alabama Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Alabama 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Alabama 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Alabama Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Alabama Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Alabama Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Alabama Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Alabama Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Alabama Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Alabama Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Alabama Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Alabama vs. Tennessee: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Alabama vs. Tennessee: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Alabama O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Tennessee O/U 23.5 | 49% |
| Tennessee Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 49% |
| Spread -6.5 | 48% |
| O/U 43.5 | 47% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 47% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 47% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 46% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 46% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 46% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 46% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 45% |
| Alabama O/U 20.5 | 44% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 44% |
| Spread -7.5 | 41% |
| O/U 49.5 | 37% |
| Alabama O/U 26.5 | 37% |
| O/U 51.5 | 35% |
| O/U 61.5 | 34% |
| O/U 63.5 | 34% |
| Spread -20.5 | 32% |
| Spread -17.5 | 30% |
| O/U 45.5 | 30% |
| Spread -10.5 | 28% |
| Tennessee O/U 29.5 | 25% |
| Alabama vs. Tennessee | 23% |
| Spread -13.5 | 18% |
| Spread -14.5 | 18% |
| O/U 47.5 | 18% |
| Spread -16.5 | 16% |
| Spread -1.5 | 13% |
| Spread -3.5 | 12% |
| Spread -2.5 | 12% |
| Spread -4.5 | 9% |
| Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| O/U 53.5 | 6% |
| O/U 55.5 | 5% |
| Spread -8.5 | 4% |
| Spread -5.5 | 4% |
| O/U 65.5 | 4% |
| Spread -7.5 | 3% |
| Spread -6.5 | 3% |
| O/U 57.5 | 3% |
| O/U 59.5 | 3% |
| Spread -13.5 | 2% |
| O/U 71.5 | 2% |
| Spread -17.5 | 1% |
| Spread -16.5 | 1% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Alabama 1H O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Alabama 1H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Alabama 1H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Tennessee 1H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Tennessee 1H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Tennessee 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1H Moneyline | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
Market context
The Alabama vs. Tennessee prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. In the upcoming college football game between Alabama and Tennessee, scheduled for October 17 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Alabama" if Alabama win the game. This market will resolve to "…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $749K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Alabama vs. Tennessee. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
- Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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