Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
84% | 16% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
84% | 16% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 35.5 | 84% |
| O/U 37.5 | 84% |
| O/U 39.5 | 79% |
| O/U 41.5 | 74% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 73% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 73% |
| O/U 43.5 | 72% |
| Kansas State O/U 20.5 | 70% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 67% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 67% |
| O/U 45.5 | 64% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 64% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 64% |
| O/U 47.5 | 61% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 61% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 61% |
| Arizona State O/U 23.5 | 60% |
| Kansas State O/U 23.5 | 57% |
| O/U 49.5 | 56% |
| Kansas State vs. Arizona State | 52% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 52% |
| Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Kansas State vs. Arizona State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Kansas State vs. Arizona State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State vs. Arizona State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State vs. Arizona State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State vs. Arizona State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State vs. Arizona State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Kansas State O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Spread -1.5 | 49% |
| Spread -0.5 | 49% |
| O/U 51.5 | 49% |
| Kansas State 1H O/U 11.5 | 49% |
| Kansas State 1H O/U 15.5 | 49% |
| 1H Moneyline | 49% |
| Arizona State 1H O/U 14.5 | 48% |
| Kansas State 2H O/U 15.5 | 48% |
| Spread -2.5 | 47% |
| Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 47% |
| Arizona State 1H O/U 16.5 | 47% |
| Arizona State 2H O/U 16.5 | 47% |
| Spread -2.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 46% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 46% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 45% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 45% |
| O/U 53.5 | 44% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 44% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 43% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 43% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 42% |
| Arizona State 2H O/U 14.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 42% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 42% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 42% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 42% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 40% |
| Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 39% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 39% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 39% |
| Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| O/U 55.5 | 37% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 37% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 37% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 37% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| Spread -4.5 | 36% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 36% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 36% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 36% |
| Spread -4.5 | 35% |
| O/U 57.5 | 35% |
| Spread -5.5 | 34% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 34% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 34% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| Spread -6.5 | 33% |
| Spread -5.5 | 33% |
| Kansas State O/U 26.5 | 33% |
| Kansas State O/U 29.5 | 33% |
| Kansas State O/U 32.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 32% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| Spread -6.5 | 31% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 31% |
| O/U 59.5 | 30% |
| Arizona State O/U 35.5 | 30% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 30% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 29% |
| Spread -7.5 | 28% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 28% |
| O/U 61.5 | 27% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 27% |
| Arizona State O/U 29.5 | 27% |
| Arizona State O/U 32.5 | 27% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 27% |
| Spread -8.5 | 26% |
| Spread -7.5 | 25% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 25% |
| Spread -8.5 | 24% |
| O/U 63.5 | 22% |
| Spread -10.5 | 21% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 21% |
| Spread -10.5 | 20% |
| O/U 65.5 | 20% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 18% |
| Spread -13.5 | 17% |
| Spread -13.5 | 17% |
| O/U 67.5 | 16% |
| Spread -14.5 | 14% |
| Spread -14.5 | 14% |
| O/U 69.5 | 14% |
| Spread -16.5 | 13% |
| Spread -16.5 | 13% |
| O/U 71.5 | 12% |
| Spread -17.5 | 11% |
| O/U 73.5 | 11% |
| Spread -17.5 | 10% |
| O/U 75.5 | 9% |
| Spread -20.5 | 8% |
| Spread -20.5 | 8% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, kansas state vs. arizona state stands at 84% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming college football game between Kansas State and Arizona State, scheduled for October 24 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Kansas State" if Kansas State win …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $169K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Kansas State vs. Arizona State. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
- Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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