Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
96% | 4% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
96% | 4% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 96% |
| Spread -0.5 | 95% |
| Spread -2.5 | 95% |
| Spread -3.5 | 93% |
| Spread -4.5 | 93% |
| O/U 35.5 | 92% |
| O/U 37.5 | 90% |
| O/U 39.5 | 89% |
| LSU O/U 23.5 | 89% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 89% |
| Spread -7.5 | 88% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 87% |
| Spread -1.5 | 86% |
| Spread -10.5 | 86% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 85% |
| O/U 41.5 | 84% |
| Spread -12.5 | 84% |
| Spread -5.5 | 83% |
| Spread -6.5 | 83% |
| Spread -13.5 | 83% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 83% |
| O/U 43.5 | 82% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 82% |
| Spread -14.5 | 81% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 80% |
| O/U 45.5 | 77% |
| Spread -16.5 | 76% |
| Spread -17.5 | 74% |
| O/U 47.5 | 72% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 72% |
| O/U 49.5 | 71% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 70% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 69% |
| LSU O/U 35.5 | 69% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 67% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 67% |
| Spread -20.5 | 66% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 66% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 66% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 65% |
| O/U 51.5 | 63% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 63% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 62% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 62% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 60% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 60% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 60% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 59% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 59% |
| O/U 53.5 | 57% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 57% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 56% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 56% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 55% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 54% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 52% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 52% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 51% |
| Mississippi State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| LSU O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| LSU O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| LSU O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| LSU 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| LSU 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| LSU 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| LSU 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| LSU 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Mississippi State vs. LSU: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State vs. LSU: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| LSU 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| LSU 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| LSU Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| LSU Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| LSU Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State vs. LSU: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State vs. LSU: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State vs. LSU: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Mississippi State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| LSU O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| O/U 55.5 | 49% |
| LSU 1H O/U 16.5 | 49% |
| Mississippi State vs. LSU: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 49% |
| Mississippi State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 49% |
| 1H Moneyline | 49% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 48% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 48% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 47% |
| O/U 57.5 | 46% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 46% |
| Mississippi State 1H O/U 13.5 | 39% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 38% |
| Mississippi State O/U 20.5 | 38% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 38% |
| O/U 59.5 | 37% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 37% |
| O/U 63.5 | 36% |
| O/U 61.5 | 34% |
| O/U 65.5 | 32% |
| O/U 67.5 | 31% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 31% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 30% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 28% |
| Mississippi State O/U 23.5 | 28% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 26% |
| O/U 73.5 | 25% |
| O/U 71.5 | 23% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 22% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 20% |
| O/U 69.5 | 17% |
| O/U 75.5 | 10% |
| Spread -3.5 | 7% |
| Spread -2.5 | 6% |
| Mississippi State vs. LSU | 5% |
| Spread -10.5 | 5% |
| Spread -1.5 | 4% |
| Spread -7.5 | 2% |
| Spread -6.5 | 2% |
| Spread -5.5 | 2% |
| Spread -4.5 | 2% |
| Spread -13.5 | 1% |
Market context
Mississippi State vs. LSU — current market-implied probability: 96%. In the upcoming college football game between Mississippi State and LSU, scheduled for October 17 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Mississippi State" if Mississippi State win the game. This…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $836K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Mississippi State vs. LSU. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
- Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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