Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
87% | 13% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
87% | 13% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 31.5 | 87% |
| O/U 33.5 | 87% |
| O/U 35.5 | 85% |
| Spread -0.5 | 81% |
| O/U 37.5 | 77% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 74% |
| O/U 39.5 | 71% |
| Navy O/U 24.5 | 70% |
| Navy vs. UAB | 68% |
| Spread -2.5 | 67% |
| Spread -1.5 | 66% |
| O/U 43.5 | 66% |
| Spread -0.5 | 61% |
| 1H O/U 20.5 | 60% |
| Spread -4.5 | 57% |
| Spread -3.5 | 57% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 56% |
| UAB O/U 21.5 | 56% |
| Spread -5.5 | 55% |
| O/U 45.5 | 55% |
| Spread -6.5 | 52% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| O/U 41.5 | 50% |
| O/U 47.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Navy O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| UAB O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| UAB O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| UAB O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Navy 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Navy 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Navy 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| UAB 1H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| UAB 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| UAB 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Navy 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Navy 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Navy 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| UAB 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| UAB 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| UAB 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Navy O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| UAB O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Navy vs. UAB: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Navy vs. UAB: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Navy Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Navy Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Navy vs. UAB: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Navy Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| UAB Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| UAB Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| UAB Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Navy Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Navy Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| UAB Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Navy Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Navy Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| UAB Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Navy Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| UAB Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| UAB Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Navy Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| UAB Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| UAB Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Navy Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| UAB Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| UAB Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| UAB Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Navy Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Navy 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Navy 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Navy Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| UAB 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Navy Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Navy Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| UAB 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| UAB Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| UAB Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Navy Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| UAB Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Navy Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Navy Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Navy Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| UAB Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| UAB Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| UAB Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Navy Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Navy Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Navy Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| UAB Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| UAB Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| UAB Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Navy vs. UAB: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Navy vs. UAB: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Navy vs. UAB: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 23.5 | 49% |
| Spread -7.5 | 47% |
| Spread -8.5 | 45% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 45% |
| O/U 49.5 | 44% |
| Spread -9.5 | 43% |
| O/U 51.5 | 42% |
| 1H O/U 26.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 41% |
| Navy O/U 30.5 | 41% |
| 1H O/U 32.5 | 40% |
| Spread -10.5 | 38% |
| Spread -12.5 | 36% |
| Spread -11.5 | 35% |
| Spread -13.5 | 34% |
| O/U 53.5 | 34% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 33% |
| O/U 55.5 | 31% |
| Navy O/U 33.5 | 31% |
| Spread -14.5 | 28% |
| Spread -2.5 | 27% |
| O/U 57.5 | 27% |
| Spread -16.5 | 26% |
| Navy O/U 36.5 | 25% |
| O/U 59.5 | 24% |
| 1H O/U 29.5 | 23% |
| Spread -18.5 | 22% |
| UAB O/U 27.5 | 22% |
| Spread -15.5 | 21% |
| O/U 61.5 | 21% |
| O/U 63.5 | 21% |
| O/U 65.5 | 19% |
| Spread -5.5 | 18% |
| Spread -6.5 | 16% |
| Spread -21.5 | 15% |
| O/U 67.5 | 15% |
| Spread -22.5 | 14% |
| Spread -8.5 | 13% |
| O/U 69.5 | 13% |
| Spread -24.5 | 12% |
| Spread -9.5 | 11% |
| O/U 71.5 | 10% |
| Spread -28.5 | 9% |
| Spread -25.5 | 9% |
| Spread -12.5 | 9% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 87% probability to navy vs. uab. In the upcoming college football game between Navy and UAB, scheduled for September 25 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Navy" if Navy win the game. This market will resolve to "UAB" if UAB w…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $610K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Navy vs. UAB. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
- Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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