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North Carolina vs. Duke

How the prediction market is pricing "North Carolina vs. Duke" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

1H O/U 21.5 100% 1Q O/U 7.5 100% 2Q O/U 7.5 100% 2Q O/U 10.5 100% Volume: $230K Liquidity: $282K Closes: 17 Oct 2026
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North Carolina vs. Duke

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1H O/U 21.5100%
1Q O/U 7.5100%
2Q O/U 7.5100%
2Q O/U 10.5100%
2Q O/U 13.5100%
North Carolina 1H O/U 11.5100%
North Carolina 1H O/U 13.5100%
North Carolina 1H O/U 15.5100%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q2100%
1H Spread -1.5100%
1Q Spread -3.5100%
1Q Spread -1.5100%
1Q Spread -0.5100%
1H Moneyline100%
1Q Moneyline100%
O/U 35.577%
O/U 37.577%
Spread -0.575%
4Q O/U 7.570%
Spread -0.566%
O/U 39.560%
North Carolina vs. Duke57%
Spread -1.556%
Spread -2.555%
O/U 41.553%
3Q Spread -0.553%
3Q Spread -1.553%
3Q Spread -2.553%
4Q O/U 10.552%
North Carolina O/U 20.552%
Duke Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.551%
North Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.551%
Spread -20.550%
O/U 71.550%
O/U 73.550%
O/U 75.550%
2H O/U 21.550%
2H O/U 24.550%
2H O/U 27.550%
2H O/U 30.550%
2H O/U 33.550%
North Carolina O/U 26.550%
North Carolina O/U 29.550%
North Carolina O/U 32.550%
Duke O/U 26.550%
Duke O/U 29.550%
Duke O/U 32.550%
Duke O/U 35.550%
North Carolina 2H O/U 11.550%
North Carolina 2H O/U 13.550%
North Carolina 2H O/U 15.550%
Duke 2H O/U 12.550%
Duke 2H O/U 14.550%
Duke 2H O/U 16.550%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q350%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q250%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q150%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q450%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H50%
Game Goes to Overtime50%
North Carolina vs. Duke: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.550%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q450%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown50%
North Carolina vs. Duke: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.550%
Pick-Six Scored50%
North Carolina vs. Duke: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.550%
North Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
North Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
North Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
Duke Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
North Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
Duke Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
Duke Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
North Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
North Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
Duke Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
Duke Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
North Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
North Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
North Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
North Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
Duke Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
Duke Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
Duke Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
North Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
Duke Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
Duke Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
Duke Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
North Carolina 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Duke 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
North Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Duke 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
North Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
North Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
Duke Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Duke Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Duke Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
North Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
North Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
North Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
Duke Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
Duke Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
Duke Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
North Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 19.550%
North Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
North Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 21.550%
Duke Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
Duke Total First Downs: O/U 19.550%
North Carolina vs. Duke: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.550%
North Carolina vs. Duke: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.550%
North Carolina vs. Duke: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -0.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -2.550%
2H Spread -3.550%
2H Spread -5.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -2.550%
4Q Spread -3.550%
4Q Spread -5.550%
2H Moneyline50%
Duke O/U 3.550%
North Carolina O/U 2.550%
2Q Moneyline50%
4Q Moneyline50%
Duke O/U 2.550%
North Carolina O/U 23.549%
North Carolina 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.549%
Duke Total First Downs: O/U 21.549%
4Q O/U 13.548%
3Q O/U 7.547%
3Q O/U 10.547%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q347%
3Q Spread -1.547%
3Q Spread -3.547%
3Q Spread -5.547%
3Q Moneyline47%
O/U 43.544%
Spread -3.541%
Spread -1.538%
Spread -2.537%
Spread -5.534%
Spread -4.534%
Spread -6.532%
O/U 53.531%
O/U 55.531%
O/U 59.531%
O/U 61.531%
O/U 65.531%
O/U 67.531%
Duke O/U 23.528%
Spread -8.527%
4Q O/U 16.526%
O/U 45.525%
Spread -3.521%
O/U 47.520%
Spread -8.518%
4Q O/U 19.518%
Spread -4.517%
O/U 49.517%
Spread -5.516%
Spread -7.514%
Spread -6.514%
O/U 51.512%
Spread -10.59%
Spread -13.55%
O/U 57.55%
Spread -14.54%
Spread -7.54%
Spread -17.53%
Spread -10.53%
Spread -13.53%
O/U 63.53%
Spread -16.52%
Spread -14.52%
Spread -16.52%
Spread -17.52%
Spread -20.52%
O/U 69.52%
1H O/U 24.50%
1H O/U 27.50%
1H O/U 30.50%
1H O/U 33.50%
1Q O/U 10.50%
1Q O/U 13.50%
1Q O/U 16.50%
1Q O/U 19.50%
2Q O/U 16.50%
2Q O/U 19.50%
3Q O/U 13.50%
3Q O/U 16.50%
3Q O/U 19.50%
Duke 1H O/U 12.50%
Duke 1H O/U 14.50%
Duke 1H O/U 16.50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q10%
1H Spread -0.50%
1H Spread -1.50%
1H Spread -2.50%
1H Spread -3.50%
1H Spread -5.50%
1Q Spread -0.50%
1Q Spread -1.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -1.50%
2Q Spread -0.50%
2Q Spread -1.50%
2Q Spread -2.50%
2Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -5.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to north carolina vs. duke. In the upcoming college football game between North Carolina and Duke, scheduled for October 17 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "North Carolina" if North Carolina win the game. This market w…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1H O/U 21.5 at 100% for "North Carolina vs. Duke".

1H O/U 21.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $230K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for North Carolina vs. Duke. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
Oliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto ReporterandEmma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial Journalist

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