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Oregon vs. Oklahoma State

How the prediction market is pricing "Oregon vs. Oklahoma State" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Oregon vs. Oklahoma State 95% Spread -0.5 94% Spread -1.5 93% Spread -2.5 91% Volume: $84K Liquidity: $725K Closes: 12 Sept 2026
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Oregon vs. Oklahoma State

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
95% 5% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
95% 5% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Oregon vs. Oklahoma State95%
Spread -0.594%
Spread -1.593%
Spread -2.591%
Spread -3.590%
1H Moneyline89%
Spread -4.588%
Spread -5.587%
O/U 39.587%
Spread -6.586%
Spread -7.582%
O/U 41.582%
Spread -9.581%
Spread -8.580%
O/U 43.579%
1Q Moneyline79%
Spread -10.577%
Oklahoma State O/U 8.576%
Oklahoma State O/U 9.574%
O/U 45.573%
Spread -13.572%
Oregon O/U 32.571%
Oregon O/U 33.570%
Spread -14.569%
O/U 47.569%
Spread -15.567%
Spread -16.566%
Oklahoma State O/U 10.566%
Oklahoma State O/U 11.566%
Oregon O/U 34.565%
Oklahoma State O/U 12.565%
O/U 49.564%
1H Spread -8.564%
2H Spread -6.564%
Spread -17.563%
1H Spread -9.563%
Spread: Oregon (-18.5)62%
Oregon O/U 35.560%
Spread -19.559%
O/U 51.559%
Oregon O/U 36.559%
Oklahoma State O/U 13.559%
Spread -20.558%
1H Spread -10.557%
1Q Spread -6.556%
Oregon 1H O/U 20.556%
2H Spread -7.556%
1H Spread -11.555%
1H Spread -12.555%
Oregon O/U 37.555%
Spread -21.554%
O/U 53.554%
2H Spread -8.554%
Spread -22.553%
2H Spread -9.553%
Oregon 1H O/U 18.553%
1Q O/U 13.553%
4Q Spread -5.552%
Spread -23.552%
Oklahoma State O/U 1.552%
Dante Moore: Anytime Touchdown51%
1H Spread -13.551%
1Q Spread -4.551%
3Q Spread -6.551%
Oregon 1H O/U 19.551%
Da'Jaun Riggs: Anytime Touchdown51%
Oklahoma State 2H O/U 7.551%
Oklahoma State 2H O/U 9.551%
Oregon 2H O/U 19.551%
2H O/U 27.551%
1Q O/U 7.551%
1Q O/U 10.551%
O/U 54.551%
Oregon O/U 0.550%
Oregon O/U 1.550%
Oklahoma State O/U 3.550%
2H Moneyline50%
Jordon Davison: Anytime Touchdown50%
Dierre Hill Jr.: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jamari Johnson: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jeremiah McClellan: Anytime Touchdown50%
Dakorien Moore: Anytime Touchdown50%
Evan Stewart: Anytime Touchdown50%
1Q Spread -5.550%
1Q Spread -8.550%
2Q Spread -5.550%
2Q Spread -8.550%
2Q Spread -9.550%
2Q Moneyline50%
3Q Spread -4.550%
3Q Spread -5.550%
3Q Spread -8.550%
3Q Moneyline50%
4Q Spread -4.550%
4Q Spread -8.550%
4Q Moneyline50%
Oregon 1H O/U 23.550%
Caleb Hawkins: Anytime Touchdown50%
Wyatt Young: Anytime Touchdown50%
Justin Bowick: Anytime Touchdown50%
Chris Barnes: Anytime Touchdown50%
Miles Coleman: Anytime Touchdown50%
Drew Mestemaker: Anytime Touchdown50%
Oklahoma State 1H O/U 5.550%
Oklahoma State 1H O/U 9.550%
Oklahoma State 1H O/U 11.550%
Oregon 1H O/U 22.550%
Simeon Price: Anytime Touchdown50%
Tre Page III: Anytime Touchdown50%
Gatlin Bair: Anytime Touchdown50%
Ayo Adeyi: Anytime Touchdown50%
Kendre Harrison: Anytime Touchdown50%
Carson Kolb: Anytime Touchdown50%
Rodney Harris II: Anytime Touchdown50%
Terrence Lewis: Anytime Touchdown50%
2Q Spread -4.550%
Oklahoma State 2H O/U 5.550%
Oregon 2H O/U 15.550%
Oregon 2H O/U 17.550%
Oregon 2H O/U 16.550%
Oregon 2H O/U 18.550%
Oregon 2H O/U 20.550%
Oregon O/U 4.550%
Oklahoma State 2H O/U 4.550%
Oklahoma State 2H O/U 6.550%
Oklahoma State 2H O/U 8.550%
1H O/U 24.550%
1H O/U 27.550%
1H O/U 33.550%
1H O/U 36.550%
2H O/U 18.550%
2H O/U 21.550%
2H O/U 24.550%
2H O/U 30.550%
1Q Spread -9.550%
1Q Spread -2.550%
1Q O/U 16.550%
1Q O/U 19.550%
2Q Spread -2.550%
2Q O/U 10.550%
2Q O/U 13.550%
2Q O/U 16.550%
2Q O/U 19.550%
2Q O/U 22.550%
3Q Spread -9.550%
3Q Spread -2.550%
3Q O/U 6.550%
3Q O/U 9.550%
3Q O/U 12.550%
3Q O/U 15.550%
3Q O/U 18.550%
4Q Spread -9.550%
4Q Spread -2.550%
4Q O/U 7.550%
4Q O/U 10.550%
4Q O/U 13.550%
4Q O/U 16.550%
4Q O/U 19.550%
Oklahoma State 1H O/U 6.550%
Oklahoma State 1H O/U 8.550%
Oklahoma State 1H O/U 10.550%
Oklahoma State O/U 14.550%
Oregon O/U 5.549%
Oklahoma State O/U 15.549%
2Q Spread -6.548%
Oregon O/U 40.548%
Oregon O/U 38.548%
Spread -24.547%
O/U 55.547%
3Q Spread -7.547%
Oregon O/U 39.547%
4Q Spread -3.547%
Oregon 1H O/U 21.546%
O/U 57.545%
2H Spread -10.545%
2Q Spread -7.545%
4Q Spread -6.545%
4Q Spread -7.545%
Oklahoma State O/U 16.545%
O/U 56.545%
1H Spread -14.544%
Oklahoma State O/U 2.544%
Oklahoma State 1H O/U 7.544%
Spread -25.544%
Oklahoma State O/U 0.543%
1H Spread -15.543%
Oregon O/U 41.543%
1H O/U 30.543%
2H Spread -11.542%
1Q Spread -7.542%
Spread -26.542%
O/U 58.541%
2H Spread -12.541%
Oregon O/U 2.540%
Spread -27.540%
Oklahoma State O/U 17.540%
O/U 59.538%
Oklahoma State O/U 18.538%
O/U 60.537%
Oklahoma State O/U 1.537%
2H Spread -13.537%
Oregon O/U 3.536%
Oregon O/U 42.536%
Oklahoma State O/U 19.536%
Spread -28.536%
Oregon O/U 43.535%
Spread -29.535%
O/U 61.534%
Spread -30.534%
Oklahoma State O/U 2.532%
Oregon O/U 44.532%
Oklahoma State O/U 20.532%
Spread -31.529%
O/U 63.528%
Oregon O/U 45.527%
Oklahoma State O/U 21.527%
Spread -32.527%
Oregon O/U 46.526%
O/U 65.525%
Oklahoma State O/U 22.525%
Spread -34.524%
O/U 67.522%
Spread -37.519%
O/U 69.518%
Spread -38.516%
O/U 71.515%
O/U 73.514%
Spread -40.514%
Spread -41.512%
O/U 75.510%
Spread -44.59%
O/U 77.58%
O/U 79.57%

Market context

Oregon vs. Oklahoma State. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 95% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-09-12T16:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.

Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.

Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Oregon vs. Oklahoma State at 95% for "Oregon vs. Oklahoma State".

Oregon vs. Oklahoma State 95% Other 5%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $84K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Oregon vs. Oklahoma State. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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