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San Diego State vs. Oregon State

How the prediction market is pricing "San Diego State vs. Oregon State" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Spread -2.5 100% Spread -4.5 100% Spread -6.5 100% Spread -16.5 100% Volume: $487K Liquidity: $528K Closes: 10 Oct 2026
Open live market →
San Diego State vs. Oregon State

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Spread -2.5100%
Spread -4.5100%
Spread -6.5100%
Spread -16.5100%
O/U 35.5100%
O/U 37.5100%
O/U 39.5100%
O/U 41.5100%
O/U 43.5100%
O/U 45.5100%
O/U 47.5100%
O/U 49.5100%
O/U 51.5100%
O/U 53.5100%
O/U 55.5100%
O/U 57.5100%
O/U 59.5100%
O/U 61.5100%
O/U 63.5100%
O/U 65.5100%
O/U 67.5100%
O/U 69.5100%
O/U 71.5100%
1H O/U 21.5100%
1H O/U 24.5100%
1H O/U 27.5100%
1H O/U 30.5100%
1H O/U 33.5100%
1Q O/U 7.5100%
1Q O/U 10.5100%
1Q O/U 13.5100%
2Q O/U 7.5100%
2Q O/U 10.5100%
2Q O/U 13.5100%
2Q O/U 16.5100%
2Q O/U 19.5100%
3Q O/U 7.5100%
3Q O/U 10.5100%
3Q O/U 13.5100%
Oregon State O/U 23.5100%
Oregon State O/U 26.5100%
Oregon State O/U 29.5100%
Oregon State O/U 32.5100%
Oregon State O/U 35.5100%
Oregon State 1H O/U 12.5100%
Oregon State 1H O/U 14.5100%
Oregon State 1H O/U 16.5100%
Oregon State 2H O/U 12.5100%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q2100%
Spread -9.5100%
1H Spread -4.5100%
1H Spread -6.5100%
1H Spread -7.5100%
1H Spread -8.5100%
1H Spread -9.5100%
1H Spread -11.5100%
1Q Spread -0.5100%
1Q Spread -2.5100%
1Q Spread -3.5100%
1Q Spread -4.5100%
1Q Spread -5.5100%
1Q Spread -7.5100%
2Q Spread -0.5100%
2Q Spread -2.5100%
2Q Spread -3.5100%
2Q Spread -4.5100%
2Q Spread -5.5100%
2Q Spread -7.5100%
Spread -1.599%
Spread -3.599%
Spread -5.599%
Spread -7.599%
Spread -10.599%
Spread -13.599%
Spread -17.599%
2H O/U 27.599%
3Q O/U 19.599%
3Q Spread -2.599%
Spread -20.598%
2H O/U 30.598%
Spread -27.598%
Spread -30.598%
Spread -24.597%
2H Spread -4.597%
Spread -11.596%
Spread -15.596%
Spread -21.596%
2H Spread -6.596%
Spread -14.595%
2H Spread -7.595%
2H Spread -8.595%
2H Spread -9.595%
Spread -31.584%
4Q O/U 7.583%
O/U 73.581%
O/U 75.581%
4Q Spread -2.576%
4Q O/U 10.573%
4Q O/U 13.568%
Spread -34.559%
3Q O/U 16.557%
3Q Spread -3.555%
3Q Spread -7.554%
2H O/U 21.553%
2H O/U 24.553%
Oregon State 2H O/U 14.553%
Oregon State 2H O/U 16.553%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q353%
3Q Spread -0.553%
3Q Spread -4.553%
3Q Spread -5.553%
San Diego State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.551%
San Diego State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.551%
Oregon State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.551%
San Diego State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.551%
San Diego State Total Receptions: O/U 14.551%
Spread -28.551%
Spread -0.550%
Spread -8.550%
2H O/U 33.550%
4Q O/U 16.550%
San Diego State O/U 32.550%
San Diego State 2H O/U 11.550%
San Diego State 2H O/U 13.550%
San Diego State 2H O/U 15.550%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q250%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q350%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q450%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q150%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H50%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown50%
Pick-Six Scored50%
Game Goes to Overtime50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q450%
San Diego State vs. Oregon State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.550%
San Diego State vs. Oregon State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.550%
San Diego State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
San Diego State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
Oregon State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
Oregon State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
Oregon State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
San Diego State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
San Diego State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
Oregon State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
Oregon State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
San Diego State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
Oregon State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
San Diego State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
Oregon State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
Oregon State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
San Diego State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
San Diego State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
San Diego State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
Oregon State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
Oregon State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
Oregon State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
Oregon State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Oregon State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
San Diego State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
San Diego State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
San Diego State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
Oregon State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
Oregon State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
San Diego State Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
San Diego State Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
Oregon State Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
Oregon State Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
San Diego State Total First Downs: O/U 19.550%
Oregon State Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
San Diego State Total First Downs: O/U 21.550%
San Diego State Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
Oregon State Total First Downs: O/U 21.550%
Oregon State Total First Downs: O/U 19.550%
San Diego State vs. Oregon State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.550%
Oregon State Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
San Diego State vs. Oregon State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.550%
San Diego State vs. Oregon State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.550%
Spread -12.550%
Spread -18.550%
Spread -19.550%
Spread -22.550%
2H Spread -11.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -5.550%
2H Moneyline50%
Oregon State O/U 4.550%
San Diego State O/U 2.550%
4Q Moneyline50%
Spread -8.549%
Spread -0.549%
San Diego State vs. Oregon State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.549%
San Diego State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.549%
San Diego State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.549%
Oregon State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.549%
3Q Moneyline47%
San Diego State O/U 20.541%
4Q Spread -3.539%
4Q O/U 19.535%
San Diego State O/U 23.520%
San Diego State O/U 26.514%
San Diego State O/U 29.514%
Spread -6.51%
Spread -5.51%
Spread -4.51%
Spread -3.51%
Spread -2.51%
Spread -1.51%
San Diego State vs. Oregon State0%
Spread -20.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -10.50%
Spread -7.50%
1Q O/U 16.50%
1Q O/U 19.50%
San Diego State 1H O/U 11.50%
San Diego State 1H O/U 13.50%
San Diego State 1H O/U 15.50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q10%
1H Moneyline0%
1Q Moneyline0%
2Q Moneyline0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of san diego state vs. oregon state. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between San Diego State and Oregon State, scheduled for October 10 at 6:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego State" if San Diego St…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Spread -2.5 at 100% for "San Diego State vs. Oregon State".

Spread -2.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $487K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for San Diego State vs. Oregon State. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
Oliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto ReporterandEmma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial Journalist

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