Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| San Jose State 1H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| San Jose State 1H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 82% |
| San Jose State vs. Hawai'i | 79% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 74% |
| Spread -2.5 | 73% |
| Spread -5.5 | 69% |
| Spread -4.5 | 67% |
| Spread -6.5 | 66% |
| Spread -3.5 | 65% |
| O/U 37.5 | 64% |
| O/U 35.5 | 59% |
| O/U 39.5 | 58% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 53% |
| Spread -7.5 | 52% |
| O/U 41.5 | 52% |
| Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| Hawai'i O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| O/U 69.5 | 50% |
| O/U 71.5 | 50% |
| O/U 75.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| San Jose State vs. Hawai'i: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State vs. Hawai'i: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| San Jose State vs. Hawai'i: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| San Jose State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State vs. Hawai'i: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State vs. Hawai'i: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State vs. Hawai'i: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| San Jose State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| O/U 43.5 | 42% |
| Spread -10.5 | 37% |
| O/U 45.5 | 36% |
| O/U 47.5 | 32% |
| Spread -20.5 | 31% |
| Spread -13.5 | 31% |
| O/U 51.5 | 27% |
| O/U 63.5 | 27% |
| O/U 65.5 | 27% |
| Spread -16.5 | 26% |
| Spread -14.5 | 26% |
| O/U 53.5 | 26% |
| O/U 49.5 | 24% |
| Spread -1.5 | 21% |
| Spread -17.5 | 20% |
| Spread -3.5 | 18% |
| Spread -2.5 | 17% |
| Spread -4.5 | 17% |
| Spread -5.5 | 14% |
| O/U 55.5 | 12% |
| Spread -6.5 | 11% |
| Spread -10.5 | 11% |
| Spread -7.5 | 9% |
| O/U 57.5 | 8% |
| Spread -13.5 | 7% |
| O/U 59.5 | 7% |
| Spread -17.5 | 6% |
| Spread -14.5 | 5% |
| Spread -16.5 | 5% |
| O/U 61.5 | 5% |
| O/U 73.5 | 5% |
| O/U 67.5 | 4% |
| Spread -20.5 | 3% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of san jose state vs. hawai'i. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between San Jose State and Hawai'i, scheduled for October 4 at 12:00AM ET: This market will resolve to "San Jose State" if San Jose State win …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $916K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for San Jose State vs. Hawai'i. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
- Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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