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UMass vs. Buffalo

How the prediction market is pricing "UMass vs. Buffalo" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

1Q O/U 7.5 100% Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 100% O/U 35.5 80% O/U 37.5 78% Volume: $204K Liquidity: $476K Closes: 17 Oct 2026
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UMass vs. Buffalo

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1Q O/U 7.5100%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q1100%
O/U 35.580%
O/U 37.578%
Spread -0.576%
1H O/U 21.576%
UMass O/U 20.573%
O/U 39.569%
Spread -0.565%
UMass vs. Buffalo61%
O/U 41.560%
Spread -1.559%
Spread -2.556%
2Q O/U 7.553%
2Q O/U 10.553%
UMass 1H O/U 11.553%
UMass 1H O/U 13.553%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q253%
1Q Spread -1.553%
2Q Spread -1.553%
1H Moneyline53%
1Q Moneyline53%
2Q Moneyline53%
UMass O/U 23.552%
2H O/U 30.551%
UMass 2H O/U 15.551%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H51%
UMass Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.551%
UMass vs. Buffalo: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.551%
O/U 43.550%
2H O/U 21.550%
2H O/U 24.550%
2H O/U 27.550%
2H O/U 33.550%
2Q O/U 13.550%
3Q O/U 7.550%
3Q O/U 10.550%
3Q O/U 13.550%
3Q O/U 16.550%
3Q O/U 19.550%
4Q O/U 7.550%
4Q O/U 10.550%
4Q O/U 13.550%
4Q O/U 16.550%
4Q O/U 19.550%
UMass O/U 26.550%
UMass O/U 29.550%
UMass O/U 32.550%
Buffalo O/U 26.550%
Buffalo O/U 29.550%
Buffalo O/U 32.550%
Buffalo O/U 35.550%
UMass 1H O/U 15.550%
UMass 2H O/U 11.550%
UMass 2H O/U 13.550%
Buffalo 2H O/U 12.550%
Buffalo 2H O/U 14.550%
Buffalo 2H O/U 16.550%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q350%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q250%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q150%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q450%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q350%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q450%
UMass vs. Buffalo: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.550%
Game Goes to Overtime50%
Pick-Six Scored50%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown50%
UMass vs. Buffalo: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.550%
UMass vs. Buffalo: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.550%
UMass Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
Buffalo Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
UMass Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
Buffalo Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
Buffalo Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
UMass Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
UMass Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
Buffalo Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
Buffalo Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
UMass Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
UMass Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
UMass Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
Buffalo Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
Buffalo Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
Buffalo Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
UMass Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
UMass Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
Buffalo Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
UMass Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
Buffalo Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
Buffalo Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
UMass 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Buffalo 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
UMass Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
UMass Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
UMass Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
Buffalo Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Buffalo Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
UMass Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
UMass Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
UMass Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
Buffalo Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
Buffalo Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
Buffalo Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
UMass Total First Downs: O/U 19.550%
UMass Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
Buffalo Total First Downs: O/U 19.550%
Buffalo Total First Downs: O/U 21.550%
UMass vs. Buffalo: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.550%
Buffalo Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
UMass vs. Buffalo: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.550%
2H Spread -0.550%
2H Spread -2.550%
2H Spread -3.550%
2H Spread -4.550%
2H Spread -5.550%
2H Spread -7.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -0.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -2.550%
3Q Spread -3.550%
3Q Spread -5.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -2.550%
4Q Spread -3.550%
4Q Spread -5.550%
2H Moneyline50%
UMass O/U 1.550%
Buffalo O/U 2.550%
3Q Moneyline50%
4Q Moneyline50%
UMass O/U 2.550%
UMass Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.549%
Buffalo Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.549%
UMass 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.549%
Buffalo 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.549%
Buffalo Field Goals Made: O/U 0.549%
UMass Total First Downs: O/U 21.549%
Spread -3.547%
1Q O/U 10.547%
1Q O/U 16.547%
1Q O/U 19.547%
2Q O/U 16.547%
2Q O/U 19.547%
Buffalo 1H O/U 12.547%
Buffalo 1H O/U 14.547%
Buffalo 1H O/U 16.547%
1Q Spread -0.547%
1Q Spread -1.547%
1Q Spread -2.547%
1Q Spread -3.547%
1Q Spread -5.547%
2Q Spread -0.547%
2Q Spread -1.547%
2Q Spread -2.547%
2Q Spread -3.547%
2Q Spread -5.547%
O/U 45.546%
Spread -4.541%
Spread -5.539%
Spread -6.538%
Spread -1.537%
O/U 47.536%
Buffalo O/U 23.536%
Spread -2.535%
O/U 49.529%
Spread -7.527%
O/U 73.527%
O/U 75.527%
Spread -3.525%
O/U 69.525%
O/U 71.525%
1H O/U 24.525%
1H O/U 33.525%
1H Spread -0.525%
1H Spread -5.525%
Spread -8.524%
1H O/U 27.524%
1H O/U 30.524%
1H Spread -2.524%
1H Spread -4.524%
1H Spread -7.524%
O/U 51.523%
Spread -4.521%
Spread -5.520%
Spread -10.519%
Spread -6.517%
O/U 53.516%
O/U 55.515%
Spread -13.514%
Spread -14.511%
Spread -7.511%
Spread -8.510%
O/U 57.510%
Spread -16.59%
O/U 59.59%
O/U 61.59%
Spread -20.57%
Spread -17.56%
Spread -10.56%
O/U 63.56%
Spread -13.55%
O/U 65.55%
O/U 67.55%
Spread -14.53%
Spread -16.53%
Spread -17.53%
Spread -20.52%
1H Spread -3.51%
1Q O/U 13.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of umass vs. buffalo. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between UMass and Buffalo, scheduled for October 17 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "UMass" if UMass win the game. This market will …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1Q O/U 7.5 at 100% for "UMass vs. Buffalo".

1Q O/U 7.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $204K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for UMass vs. Buffalo. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
Oliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto ReporterandEmma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial Journalist

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