Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Shandong Taishan FC | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw (Shandong Taishan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Wuhan San Zhen FC | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Shandong Taishan and Wuhan San Zhen meet in the Chinese Super League on 24 May 2026, with settlement contingent on the final whistle result. The 0% probability assigned to the YES outcome suggests either a technical issue with market initialisation or extremely confident backing for an alternative resolution. Given the settlement window closes just after the scheduled kick-off, any delay or postponement would be material; Chinese Super League fixtures have faced weather-related disruptions in May previously, particularly in the Wuhan region where monsoon conditions can develop rapidly.
Taishan's domestic record shows consistent title contention over recent seasons, whilst Wuhan San Zhen's competitive standing within the league hierarchy will determine baseline expectations. Head-to-head records between these clubs carry weight in Chinese football where tactical familiarity and squad continuity often favour established sides. Recent form sheets—particularly Taishan's results in the four weeks preceding this fixture—would typically shift implied probabilities significantly. Injury status of key midfield or attacking personnel, especially any late withdrawals announced within 48 hours of kick-off, historically moves markets in Chinese domestic football more sharply than in European leagues due to thinner squad depth.
Traders should monitor official league communications for fixture confirmation and any venue changes. Suspension lists released mid-week before the match could alter team composition materially. Weather forecasts for Wuhan on 24 May warrant attention given potential impact on match postponement protocols.
Methodology
This page reviews Shandong Taishan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Shandong Taishan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on PolyGram →