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FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC - Exact Score

"FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC - Exact Score" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

FC Malisheva 2 - 0 Hibernian FC 100% Any Other Score 1% FC Malisheva 0 - 0 Hibernian FC 0% FC Malisheva 0 - 1 Hibernian FC 0% Volume: $93K Liquidity: $546K Closes: 23 Jul 2026
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FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC - Exact Score

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
FC Malisheva 2 - 0 Hibernian FC100%
Any Other Score1%
FC Malisheva 0 - 0 Hibernian FC0%
FC Malisheva 0 - 1 Hibernian FC0%
FC Malisheva 1 - 0 Hibernian FC0%
FC Malisheva 0 - 2 Hibernian FC0%
FC Malisheva 1 - 1 Hibernian FC0%
FC Malisheva 0 - 3 Hibernian FC0%
FC Malisheva 1 - 2 Hibernian FC0%
FC Malisheva 2 - 1 Hibernian FC0%
FC Malisheva 3 - 0 Hibernian FC0%
FC Malisheva 1 - 3 Hibernian FC0%
FC Malisheva 2 - 2 Hibernian FC0%
FC Malisheva 3 - 1 Hibernian FC0%
FC Malisheva 2 - 3 Hibernian FC0%
FC Malisheva 3 - 2 Hibernian FC0%
FC Malisheva 3 - 3 Hibernian FC0%

Market context

FC Malisheva are at home to Hibernian in the UEFA Europa Conference League qualifying tie, and the market is being priced after a first-leg pattern that already leans towards a tight scoreline: Sky Sports’ live match page shows Malisheva leading 1-0 through Kreshnik Uka’s first-half goal, while Matchendirect lists the meeting as 0-0 in its head-to-head record, underlining how little prior data exists between the clubs.[1][2] For exact-score markets, that combination of limited history and a live one-goal margin usually keeps the set of plausible outcomes narrow, with 1-0, 1-1 and 2-0 the most obvious regulation-time shapes if the current game state holds.[1][2]

The wider form picture is mixed. Malisheva’s recent European results have been high-scoring at home, including a 5-0 win over Vllaznia and a 1-2 away defeat in the previous round, while Hibernian finished their domestic season with a run of narrow Scottish Premiership games, losing to Motherwell 0-1 and beating Rangers 2-1 away in May.[1] FotMob lists Malisheva with no unavailable players, while Hibernian are missing Rocky Bushiri through injury, a defensive absence that matters in a market driven by whether the Scottish side can stay compact enough to avoid a second concession.[3]

The main catalysts now are team news and the timing of the second-half response, because exact-score pricing can shift sharply on one substitution or a booking pattern that alters game state. With the match already underway and the settlement window tied to completion rather than kick-off, traders will be watching whether Hibernian can increase territory without exposing themselves to another Malisheva transition, or whether the scoreline settles into the low-event profile suggested by the early 1-0 lead and the pre-match uncertainty around precise outcome pricing.[1][3]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC - Exact Score. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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