Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
99% | 1% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
99% | 1% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Major League Cricket: Mi New York vs San Francisco Unicorns - Completed match? | 99% |
| Major League Cricket: Mi New York vs San Francisco Unicorns | 0% |
| Major League Cricket: Mi New York vs San Francisco Unicorns - Who wins the toss? | 0% |
Market context
Mi New York faces San Francisco Unicorns in a Major League Cricket fixture on 8 July 2026, with the market currently pricing a New York victory at zero per cent. This extreme probability reflects a stark historical reality: San Francisco Unicorns have won four of the five previous encounters between these sides, including a commanding 47-run victory in June 2025 and a five-wicket win in the most recent 2026 match [2][4][5]. The Unicorns average 199.2 runs per match against New York, while New York struggles at 135.0, with their highest score against the Unicorns being 199 runs compared to the Unicorns’ 246 [1]. In head-to-head terms, New York has won only once, a narrow two-wicket victory in July 2025, underscoring their consistent inability to dominate this fixture [2].
Traders should monitor final squad announcements for New York, particularly regarding batting depth and injury replacements, as their recent form shows vulnerability when chasing or defending totals under pressure [3]. The Unicorns’ dominance in batting first—winning all four such matches against New York—suggests that toss outcomes and early batting conditions will be critical catalysts [1]. No major suspensions have been reported, but New York’s fourth-place standing in the 2025 table after just one win from five games highlights systemic issues that may persist [3]. With the settlement window ending in July 2026, any late lineup changes or weather disruptions could shift the line, though current data strongly supports the Unicorns’ superiority [2][5].
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $155K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Major League Cricket: Mi New York vs San Francisco Unicorns. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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