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Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group A

How the prediction market is pricing "Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group A" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Map 1 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5) 100% Volume: $200K Liquidity: $589K Closes: 22 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group A

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-6.5) vs Team Nemesis (+6.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-9.5) vs Team Nemesis (+9.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.51%
Map 2 Winner0%
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-6.5) vs Team Nemesis (+6.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-6.5) vs Team Nemesis (+6.5)0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-9.5) vs Team Nemesis (+9.5)0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, counter-strike: aurora gaming vs team nemesis (bo3) - starladder starseries european qualifier group a stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Winners match between Aurora Gaming and Team Nemesis in the StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group A, initially scheduled for July …

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group A. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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