Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map Handicap: NTR (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nuclear TigeRES (-3.5) vs Eternal Fire (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nuclear TigeRES (-6.5) vs Eternal Fire (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs Nuclear TigeRES (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-3.5) vs Nuclear TigeRES (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-6.5) vs Nuclear TigeRES (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nuclear TigeRES (-9.5) vs Eternal Fire (+9.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nuclear TigeRES (-3.5) vs Eternal Fire (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nuclear TigeRES (-6.5) vs Eternal Fire (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-3.5) vs Nuclear TigeRES (+3.5) | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, counter-strike: eternal fire vs nuclear tigeres (bo3) - pgl bucharest closed qualifier playoffs stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket round 1 match between Eternal Fire and Nuclear TigeRES in the PGL Bucharest Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled fo…
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Closed Qualifier Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
- Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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