Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Champions League Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Champions League Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Champions League Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Champions League Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Champions League Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Champions League Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Champions League Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Map Handicap: SHK (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Sharks (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
The upper bracket semifinal of the Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs will pit Sharks against NIP in a best-of-three Counter-Strike encounter on 28 May at 1:30PM ET. Both teams have secured positions in this stage through prior victories, with the winner advancing directly to the grand final and the loser dropping to the lower bracket. The 0% implied probability suggests either significant uncertainty about match completion or a strong consensus favouring one outcome that hasn't yet crystallised in the market.
NIP have historically dominated Sharks in head-to-head matchups, winning the majority of their recent encounters across online and LAN events throughout 2024 and early 2025. However, roster changes and form fluctuations can rapidly alter competitive dynamics in Counter-Strike. Recent lineup adjustments at either organisation—particularly any mid-season departures or substitutions—would materially shift expectations. Sharks' performance in the lower rounds of this tournament and NIP's consistency in upper bracket play provide the primary reference points for assessing relative strength.
Traders should monitor official announcements regarding player availability, particularly any last-minute roster confirmations or injury disclosures in the 48 hours preceding the match. Schedule delays are common in online tournaments; any postponement beyond the 7-day window would trigger a 50-50 resolution. Broadcast confirmation and venue details from Stake's official channels will clarify whether technical or organisational issues might affect match completion. Recent form data from both teams' performances in preceding rounds should be cross-referenced against historical head-to-head records to identify whether current trajectories suggest a deviation from established patterns.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Champions League Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Champions League Prediction?
- Zero. Champions League Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Champions League Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: Sharks vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked E… on Champions League Prediction
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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