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Dota 2: Team Falcons vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Football snapshot for "Dota 2: Team Falcons vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stage" with form, lineup and platform comparison on a single page.

Match Winner 83% Game 1 Winner 75% Game 2 Winner 75% Any Player Ultra Kill 64% Volume: $94K Liquidity: $445K Closes: 13 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: Team Falcons vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
83% 17% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
83% 17% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner83%
Game 1 Winner75%
Game 2 Winner75%
Any Player Ultra Kill64%
Both Teams Beat Roshan57%
Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)56%
First Blood in Game 1?56%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks53%
Ends in Daytime52%
Ends in Daytime52%
Ends in Daytime52%
Any Player Rampage50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?49%
First Blood in Game 2?48%
Both Teams Beat Roshan43%
Both Teams Beat Roshan43%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?40%
O/U 2.5 Games37%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks34%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks34%
Any Player Ultra Kill24%
Any Player Ultra Kill24%
Any Player Rampage16%
Any Player Rampage14%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 83% probability to dota 2: team falcons vs lgd gaming (bo3) - the international group stage. This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 1 match between Team Falcons and LGD Gaming in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 12 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Dota 2: Team Falcons vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stage. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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