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Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Football snapshot for "Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stage" with form, lineup and platform comparison on a single page.

Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Iron Wing (+1.5) 67% O/U 2.5 Games 53% Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? 51% Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1? 51% Volume: $410K Liquidity: $384K Closes: 14 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 67% 33% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 67% 33% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Iron Wing (+1.5)67%
O/U 2.5 Games53%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?51%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?51%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?51%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?51%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 3?50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 80.5 in Game 1?50%
Game 2 Winner41%
First Blood in Game 3?33%
Game 1 Winner32%
Match Winner31%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, dota 2: iron wing vs team falcons (bo3) - the international group stage stands at 67% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 3 match between Iron Wing and Team Falcons in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 14, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET. This…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stage. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
Oliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto ReporterandEmma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial Journalist

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