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Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Level UP (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group A

How the prediction market is pricing "Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Level UP (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group A" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Game 1 Winner 100% First Blood in Game 1? 100% Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1? 100% Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1? 100% Volume: $230K Liquidity: $471K Closes: 29 Sept 2026
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Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Level UP (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group A

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
First Blood in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1?100%
Match Winner98%
Game 2 Winner91%
Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Level UP (+1.5)91%
Ends in Daytime50%
Ends in Daytime50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan34%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks31%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks31%
Any Player Ultra Kill29%
Any Player Ultra Kill29%
Any Player Rampage26%
Any Player Rampage26%
Both Teams Beat Roshan17%
O/U 2.5 Games7%
Both Teams Beat Roshan1%
Any Player Ultra Kill1%
Any Player Rampage1%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?1%
Ends in Daytime0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?0%

Market context

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Level UP (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group A — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market refers to the Dota 2 match between PARIVISION and Level UP in the BLAST Slam Group A, initially scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Level UP (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group A. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
and

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