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Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs

Football snapshot for "Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs" with form, lineup and platform comparison on a single page.

Game 1 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Both Teams Beat Roshan 100% Volume: $118K Liquidity: $241K Closes: 9 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Both Teams Beat Roshan100%
Ends in Daytime90%
Any Player Rampage51%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Any Player Ultra Kill10%
Any Player Rampage10%
Ends in Daytime10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Game 2 Winner0%
Game Handicap: TS.A (-1.5) vs RE.Arise (+1.5)0%
Ends in Daytime0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%
Game Handicap: RE.Arise (-1.5) vs Spirit Academy (+1.5)0%

Market context

The Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between RE.Arise and Spirit Academy in the European Pro League Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 9 at 6:00AM ET. This market will…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
and

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