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Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stage

How the prediction market is pricing "Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stage" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Team Resilience (+1.5) 61% Both Teams Beat Roshan 58% Any Player Ultra Kill 56% Both Teams Destroy Barracks 53% Volume: $81K Liquidity: $208K Closes: 15 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
61% 39% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
61% 39% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Team Resilience (+1.5)61%
Both Teams Beat Roshan58%
Any Player Ultra Kill56%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks53%
Any Player Rampage53%
Ends in Daytime52%
Ends in Daytime52%
Ends in Daytime52%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?49%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?46%
First Blood in Game 1?43%
O/U 2.5 Games35%
Both Teams Beat Roshan33%
Both Teams Beat Roshan33%
Any Player Ultra Kill30%
Any Player Ultra Kill30%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks26%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks26%
Game 2 Winner22%
Game 1 Winner21%
Match Winner14%
Any Player Rampage13%
Any Player Rampage13%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 61% probability to dota 2: team resilience vs team yandex (bo3) - the international group stage. This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 4 match between Team Resilience and Team Yandex in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 14, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. This market will r…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stage. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
and

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