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Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C

Football snapshot for "Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C" with form, lineup and platform comparison on a single page.

Game 1 Winner 100% Both Teams Destroy Barracks 90% First Blood in Game 1? 90% Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? 90% Volume: $1.1M Liquidity: $206K Closes: 7 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks90%
First Blood in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 80.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 85.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 90.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 95.5 in Game 1?90%
Match Winner71%
Game 2 Winner51%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 100.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 105.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 110.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 120.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2?50%
Ends in Daytime10%
Any Player Ultra Kill10%
Any Player Rampage10%

Market context

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Team Spirit and MOUZ in the Esports World Cup Group C, initially scheduled for July 7 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team S…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Oliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto ReporterandEmma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial Journalist

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