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Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Elimination Round

How the prediction market is pricing "Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Elimination Round" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Match Winner 79% Game 1 Winner 70% Game 2 Winner 70% Both Teams Beat Roshan 57% Volume: $118K Liquidity: $803K Closes: 16 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Elimination Round

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
79% 21% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
79% 21% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner79%
Game 1 Winner70%
Game 2 Winner70%
Both Teams Beat Roshan57%
First Blood in Game 2?55%
First Blood in Game 1?55%
Any Player Ultra Kill53%
Ends in Daytime52%
Ends in Daytime52%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks52%
Ends in Daytime51%
Any Player Rampage51%
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Resilience (+1.5)50%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?48%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?47%
O/U 2.5 Games42%
Both Teams Beat Roshan35%
Both Teams Beat Roshan35%
Any Player Ultra Kill28%
Any Player Ultra Kill28%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks27%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks27%
Any Player Rampage26%
Any Player Rampage26%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, dota 2: team spirit vs team resilience (bo3) - the international elimination round stands at 79% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Team Spirit and Team Resilience in the The International Elimination Round, initially scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET. T…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Elimination Round. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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