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Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Football snapshot for "Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs" with form, lineup and platform comparison on a single page.

Match Winner 72% Game 1 Winner 70% Game 2 Winner 63% Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? 56% Volume: $1.4M Liquidity: $371K Closes: 16 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
72% 28% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
72% 28% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner72%
Game 1 Winner70%
Game 2 Winner63%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?56%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 1?50%
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)50%
O/U 2.5 Games48%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?42%
Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)35%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, dota 2: team yandex vs team spirit (bo3) - esports world cup playoffs stands at 72% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Dota 2 Quarterfinal 3 match between Team Yandex and Team Spirit in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 17 at 7:00AM ET. This mar…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
and

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