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Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs

"Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

Ends in Daytime 52% Ends in Daytime 50% Ends in Daytime 50% First Blood in Game 1? 48% Volume: $184K Liquidity: $554K Closes: 23 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
52% 48% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
52% 48% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Ends in Daytime52%
Ends in Daytime50%
Ends in Daytime50%
First Blood in Game 1?48%
First Blood in Game 2?48%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?48%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?48%
O/U 2.5 Games47%
Both Teams Beat Roshan42%
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)41%
Game 2 Winner39%
Game 1 Winner37%
Both Teams Beat Roshan36%
Both Teams Beat Roshan33%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks33%
Match Winner32%
Any Player Ultra Kill28%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks25%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks25%
Any Player Ultra Kill23%
Any Player Ultra Kill22%
Any Player Rampage16%
Any Player Rampage14%
Any Player Rampage13%

Market context

The Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs prediction market currently prices this outcome at 52% YES. This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket final match between Team Yandex and Team Spirit in the The International Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. This market w…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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