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LDU Quito vs. Delfin SC - More Markets

How the prediction market is pricing "LDU Quito vs. Delfin SC - More Markets" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% O/U 2.5 100% Both Teams to Score 100% Volume: $99K Liquidity: $260K Closes: 4 Aug 2026
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LDU Quito vs. Delfin SC - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
Both Teams to Score100%
LDU Quito O/U 0.5100%
LDU Quito O/U 1.5100%
Delfin SC O/U 0.5100%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half100%
LDU Quito 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.590%
2nd Half O/U 1.590%
2nd Half O/U 2.590%
LDU Quito 2nd Half O/U 1.590%
Delfin SC 2nd Half O/U 0.590%
Delfin SC 2nd Half O/U 1.510%
LDU Quito (-1.5)0%
Delfin SC (-1.5)0%
LDU Quito (-2.5)0%
Delfin SC (-2.5)0%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 0.50%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
LDU Quito O/U 2.50%
Delfin SC O/U 1.50%
Delfin SC O/U 2.50%
LDU Quito 1st Half O/U 0.50%
LDU Quito 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Delfin SC 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Delfin SC 1st Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

LDU Quito face Delfín SC in LigaPro Primera A, with the market centred on whether the game throws up any additional scoring or event-based outcomes beyond the main result. The crowd-implied 0% YES suggests traders are treating this as a near-dead market, so any pricing move will depend on whether team news or late match conditions create a credible path for a less obvious outcome to land.

The historical frame is mixed but leans towards LDU control. Across recent head-to-head listings, LDU have either edged the series overall or sat level with Delfín, while the last few meetings have included a 4-0 away win, a 3-0 home win and a 3-2 Delfín victory, showing that the fixture can swing between comfortable home dominance and the odd open game.[2][17] Broader H2H databases also show a fairly even long-run record, with roughly equal wins and a modest draw rate, so a 0% YES read is only justified if the specific “more market” being priced is one that has rarely, or never, been triggered in this matchup.[1][10]

The main catalysts are the confirmed line-ups, any late withdrawals, and whether LDU rotate around fixture load rather than play a first-choice XI. Current season context also matters: one stats feed has LDU sitting on 10 points from seven games, with Delfín on 8, and both teams carrying negative goal differences, which points to a tighter baseline than the headline H2H scorelines alone suggest.[9] The most actionable pre-match signal will be the team sheets and bench strength published close to kick-off, plus any last-minute injury or suspension updates that alter who is available in the final third or at centre-back.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for LDU Quito vs. Delfin SC - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
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