Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Hull City and Middlesbrough meet on 23 May in what is likely a Championship play-off fixture, given the late-season timing and the settlement window closing immediately after kick-off. Both clubs will be competing for promotion, making this a high-stakes encounter where tactical setup and squad depth carry outsized weight. Hull finished the regular season in strong form under Liam Rosenior, whilst Middlesbrough have maintained consistency under Michael Carrick, though neither side has secured automatic promotion.

The 0% implied probability suggests the market is either illiquid or awaiting clarification on what specific outcome or event this contract settles against. Historical precedent shows that play-off matches between these sides have been tightly contested; their last competitive meeting in 2020 saw Middlesbrough advance after extra time. Squad news will be critical—any late injury to a key midfielder or forward could shift tactical approach substantially. Hull's reliance on their attacking width and Middlesbrough's defensive solidity mean team news drops in the 48 hours before kick-off will likely trigger significant repricing.

Traders should monitor official team sheets released Friday morning and any suspension confirmations from the EFL. Weather conditions at the KCOM Stadium can favour direct play, potentially benefiting Middlesbrough's aerial threat. The settlement window's tight closure at 14:30 GMT means any market movement will compress sharply once the match begins, leaving minimal opportunity for live adjustment once the first whistle sounds.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.