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Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC - More Markets

"Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC - More Markets" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

O/U 0.5 95% Manchester United FC O/U 0.5 90% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 83% O/U 1.5 82% Volume: $114K Liquidity: $967K Closes: 22 Aug 2026
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Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
95% 5% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
95% 5% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.595%
Manchester United FC O/U 0.590%
2nd Half O/U 0.583%
O/U 1.582%
1st Half O/U 0.574%
Manchester United FC 2nd Half O/U 0.571%
Manchester United FC O/U 1.566%
Manchester United FC 1st Half O/U 0.564%
O/U 2.559%
Hull City AFC O/U 0.553%
2nd Half O/U 1.552%
Manchester United FC (-1.5)49%
Both Teams to Score49%
Manchester United FC O/U 2.539%
1st Half O/U 1.538%
Manchester United FC 2nd Half O/U 1.537%
O/U 3.536%
Hull City AFC 2nd Half O/U 0.536%
Hull City AFC 1st Half O/U 0.528%
Manchester United FC 1st Half O/U 1.527%
Manchester United FC (-2.5)26%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half26%
2nd Half O/U 2.525%
O/U 4.519%
Hull City AFC O/U 1.517%
Both Teams to Score in First Half16%
1st Half O/U 2.514%
O/U 5.59%
Hull City AFC 2nd Half O/U 1.58%
Hull City AFC 1st Half O/U 1.54%
Hull City AFC (-1.5)2%
Hull City AFC O/U 2.52%
Hull City AFC (-2.5)1%

Market context

Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC - More Markets. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 2% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-08-22T11:30:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.

Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.

Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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Related Topics

Sports Premier League Prediction Markets