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Willem II Tilburg vs. NEC - More Markets

How the prediction market is pricing "Willem II Tilburg vs. NEC - More Markets" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

NEC (-1.5) 100% NEC (-2.5) 100% O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% Volume: $86K Closes: 15 Aug 2026
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Willem II Tilburg vs. NEC - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
NEC (-1.5)100%
NEC (-2.5)100%
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
O/U 3.5100%
O/U 4.5100%
Both Teams to Score100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Willem II Tilburg O/U 0.5100%
NEC O/U 0.5100%
NEC O/U 1.5100%
NEC O/U 2.5100%
NEC 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
2nd Half O/U 2.5100%
Willem II Tilburg 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
NEC 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
NEC 2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
Willem II Tilburg (-1.5)0%
Willem II Tilburg (-2.5)0%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
Willem II Tilburg O/U 1.50%
Willem II Tilburg O/U 2.50%
Willem II Tilburg 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Willem II Tilburg 1st Half O/U 1.50%
NEC 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Willem II Tilburg 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

The Willem II Tilburg vs. NEC - More Markets prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. More markets for the Eredivisie game, scheduled for August 15 at 10:30 AM ET.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Willem II Tilburg vs. NEC - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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