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Japan vs. Venezuela - More Markets

Football snapshot for "Japan vs. Venezuela - More Markets" with form, lineup and platform comparison on a single page.

O/U 0.5 96% Japan O/U 0.5 92% O/U 1.5 80% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 80% Volume: $57K Liquidity: $419K Closes: 28 Sept 2026
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Japan vs. Venezuela - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
96% 4% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
96% 4% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.596%
Japan O/U 0.592%
O/U 1.580%
2nd Half O/U 0.580%
1st Half O/U 0.575%
Japan 2nd Half O/U 0.573%
Japan O/U 1.570%
Japan 1st Half O/U 0.567%
O/U 2.556%
Japan (-1.5)53%
Venezuela (-4.5)50%
Venezuela (-5.5)50%
Venezuela O/U 4.549%
2nd Half O/U 3.549%
2nd Half O/U 4.549%
Venezuela 2nd Half O/U 1.548%
Venezuela O/U 3.548%
2nd Half O/U 1.547%
Japan 1st Half O/U 3.547%
Japan 2nd Half O/U 3.547%
Venezuela 2nd Half O/U 2.547%
Venezuela O/U 0.546%
Venezuela 1st Half O/U 2.546%
Venezuela 2nd Half O/U 3.546%
Both Teams to Score42%
Japan O/U 2.542%
Japan (-5.5)42%
1st Half O/U 1.538%
Japan 2nd Half O/U 1.535%
O/U 3.534%
Japan (-2.5)30%
Japan 1st Half O/U 1.528%
Venezuela 2nd Half O/U 0.528%
Venezuela 1st Half O/U 0.523%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half22%
2nd Half O/U 2.522%
Japan O/U 3.519%
O/U 4.518%
Both Teams to Score in First Half14%
1st Half O/U 2.514%
Venezuela 1st Half O/U 1.514%
Japan (-3.5)14%
Japan 2nd Half O/U 2.514%
Venezuela O/U 1.513%
Venezuela 1st Half O/U 3.512%
1st Half O/U 3.510%
1st Half O/U 4.59%
Japan 1st Half O/U 2.59%
O/U 5.57%
Japan O/U 4.57%
Japan (-4.5)5%
Venezuela O/U 2.53%
O/U 6.53%
Venezuela (-1.5)2%
Japan O/U 5.52%
Venezuela O/U 5.52%
O/U 7.51%
Venezuela (-2.5)0%
Venezuela (-3.5)0%
O/U 8.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 96% chance of japan vs. venezuela - more markets. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. More markets for the FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for September 28 at 6:25 AM ET.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Japan vs. Venezuela - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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