Market statistics
- Total volume
- $458K
- 24h volume
- $453K
- Open interest
- $354K
Available prediction outcomes (3)
Sorted by descending live probability. Click any outcome to trade it on PolyGram.
Market context
Singapore and China PR will meet in a FIFA International Friendly on 5 June 2026. The 0% YES probability reflects the substantial gap in competitive strength between the two nations. China PR ranks significantly higher in FIFA standings and has consistently outperformed Singapore in direct encounters over the past decade. Singapore's last competitive fixture against China PR ended in defeat, and the Lions have struggled to generate consistent results against top-tier Asian opposition. China PR, despite domestic league challenges, maintains a squad depth and technical standard that has historically dominated this fixture.
Head-to-head records show China PR winning the majority of encounters, with Singapore rarely threatening in these matchups. The last meeting between the sides saw China PR control possession and create numerous clear-cut chances. Singapore's defensive vulnerabilities against technically proficient sides have been exposed repeatedly in recent qualifying campaigns. Any shift in the market would require significant squad changes, injury news affecting China PR's preparation, or unexpected form collapse in the weeks preceding the fixture.
Traders should monitor team announcements regarding squad selection and injury status in late May 2026, particularly any withdrawals from China PR's squad due to domestic league commitments or injury. Friendly matches occasionally feature experimental line-ups or rotation, though China PR typically fields competitive elevens in preparation for major tournaments. Singapore's domestic league schedule and any late injuries to key defensive players warrant tracking, though historical precedent suggests minimal probability movement unless extraordinary circumstances emerge.
Wikipedia Context
-
China–Singapore relationsFormal diplomatic relations between the People's Republic of China (PRC) and the Republic of Singapore were established in 1990. Singapore recognised the PRC later than many other countries and the last in Southeast Asia to do so. This delay stemmed from Singapore's preference that its neighbours, particularly Indonesia, normalise relations with the PRC firs
-
Chinatown, SingaporeChinatown is a subzone and ethnic enclave located within the Outram district in the Central Area of Singapore.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Singapore vs. China PR. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Resolution source: This market settles from the official publication at https://www.fifa.com. A proposer submits the result to the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon, the two-hour challenge window opens, and the smart contract pays out in USDC.
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Trade Singapore vs. China PR on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →