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Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway - More Markets

How the prediction market is pricing "Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway - More Markets" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

O/U 0.5 94% Norway O/U 0.5 81% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 78% O/U 1.5 76% Volume: $442K Liquidity: $2.1M Closes: 30 Jun 2026
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Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
94% 6% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
94% 6% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.594%
Norway O/U 0.581%
2nd Half O/U 0.578%
O/U 1.576%
1st Half O/U 0.570%
Côte d'Ivoire O/U 0.569%
Norway 2nd Half O/U 0.560%
Both Teams to Score57%
O/U 2.551%
Norway 1st Half O/U 0.550%
Côte d'Ivoire 2nd Half O/U 0.549%
Norway O/U 1.548%
2nd Half O/U 1.546%
Côte d'Ivoire 1st Half O/U 0.539%
Team to Advance35%
1st Half O/U 1.533%
Côte d'Ivoire O/U 1.532%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half31%
O/U 3.530%
Norway (-1.5)25%
Norway 2nd Half O/U 1.523%
Norway O/U 2.522%
Both Teams to Score in First Half22%
2nd Half O/U 2.521%
Norway 1st Half O/U 1.516%
Côte d'Ivoire 2nd Half O/U 1.514%
O/U 4.514%
1st Half O/U 2.512%
Côte d'Ivoire O/U 2.511%
Côte d'Ivoire (-1.5)10%
Norway (-2.5)10%
Côte d'Ivoire 1st Half O/U 1.59%
O/U 5.57%
Côte d'Ivoire (-2.5)3%
Norway (-3.5)3%
O/U 6.53%
Norway (-4.5)2%
Côte d'Ivoire (-3.5)1%
Norway (-5.5)1%
O/U 7.51%
Côte d'Ivoire (-4.5)0%
Côte d'Ivoire (-5.5)0%
O/U 8.50%

Market context

The underlying event is the FIFA World Cup Round of 32 knockout clash between Côte d'Ivoire and Norway, scheduled for Tuesday 30 June at Dallas Stadium, with the market betting on whether additional betting markets will be offered beyond the standard match outcome.

Historically, 10% crowd-implied probabilities for “more markets” in World Cup knockout games often align with matches where one side is a clear favourite but the other has shown late-group resilience, as seen when Norway entered as +105 moneyline favourites while Côte d'Ivoire, despite a late collapse against Germany, won their group and posted +265 upset odds[4]. Comparable cases from 2022 and 2026 qualifiers show that when a lower-ranked team like Côte d'Ivoire (FIFA rank 355) faces a higher-ranked opponent like Norway in a tight knockout, bookmakers frequently expand markets to include corners, shots, and player props, especially when the odds suggest a narrow margin[3].

Traders should monitor the 17:00 UTC line-up announcements at AT&T Stadium, where injury news or suspensions could shift the game’s volatility and trigger additional market offerings. Recent previews confirm both teams are targeting history, but any late withdrawal—such as a key forward for Norway or a defensive midfielder for Côte d'Ivoire—could increase the likelihood of expanded markets[5]. DraftKings’ opening odds already reflect Norway’s +105 advantage, but if the match becomes more open than expected, bookmakers may introduce live betting on total goals or player-specific stats[4].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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