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Spain vs. Cabo Verde

Five-platform snapshot of "Spain vs. Cabo Verde" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

92% YES 8% NO Volume: $457K Liquidity: $1.0M Closes: 15 Jun 2026
Trade on Champions League Prediction →
Spain vs. Cabo Verde

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Champions League Prediction Pick
polygram.ink
 92% 8% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on Champions League Prediction →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
 92% 8% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on Champions League Prediction →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on Champions League Prediction →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on Champions League Prediction →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on Champions League Prediction →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Champions League Prediction.

Active sub-markets

Spain92% YES9% NO
Draw7% YES93% NO
Cabo Verde3% YES97% NO

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 92% YES probability for Spain vs. Cabo Verde. This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Monday, June 15, 2026 between Spain and Cabo Verde.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Champions League Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
On Champions League Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Oliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto ReporterandEmma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial Journalist

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