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PGA Tour: Rocket Classic Winner

"PGA Tour: Rocket Classic Winner" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

Michael Thorbjornsen 99% Ryan Gerard 1% Davis Riley 1% Matt Wallace 1% Volume: $264K Liquidity: $2.5M Closes: 2 Aug 2026
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PGA Tour: Rocket Classic Winner

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 99% 1% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 99% 1% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Michael Thorbjornsen99%
Ryan Gerard1%
Davis Riley1%
Matt Wallace1%
Kristoffer Ventura1%
Peter Malnati0%
Rickie Fowler0%
Patrick Fishburn0%
Keegan Bradley0%
Doug Ghim0%
Stephan Jaeger0%
Michael Kim0%
Chris Kirk0%
Ricky Castillo0%
Emiliano Grillo0%
Mark Hubbard0%
Johnny Keefer0%
Xander Schauffele0%
Brandt Snedeker0%
Kevin Yu0%
Patrick Cantlay0%
Eric Cole0%
Rico Hoey0%
Sung-Jae Im0%
Benjamin James0%
Gordon Sargent0%
Adam Schenk0%
Neal Shipley0%
Davis Thompson0%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout0%
Akshay Bhatia0%
Tony Finau0%
Chris Gotterup0%
Ben Griffin0%
David Lipsky0%
Max McGreevy0%
Jordan L. Smith0%
J.J. Spaun0%
Sam Stevens0%
Aaron Wise0%
Matt Kuchar0%
Zach Bauchou0%
Corey Conners0%
Steven Fisk0%
Max Greyserman0%
Ryo Hisatsune0%
Billy Horschel0%
Si Woo Kim0%
Jackson Koivun0%
Henry Lebioda0%
Stefano Mazzoli0%
Matt McCarty0%
Keita Nakajima0%
Thorbjorn Olesen0%
Jordan Spieth0%
Jackson Suber0%
Adam Svensson0%
Nick Taylor0%
Karl Vilips0%
Vince Whaley0%
Cameron Young0%
Justin Lower0%
Zac Blair0%
Jimmy Stanger0%
Chandler Blanchet0%
Jacob Bridgeman0%
Brian Campbell0%
Rafael Campos0%
Luke Clanton0%
Pierceson Coody0%
Joel Dahmen0%
Brad Dalke0%
Cam Davis0%
Ze-Cheng Dou0%
Austin Eckroat0%
Harris English0%
A.J. Ewart0%
Brice Garnett0%
Russell Henley0%
Garrick Higgo0%
Joe Highsmith0%
Lee Hodges0%
Tom Hoge0%
Nicolai Hojgaard0%
Mackenzie Hughes0%
Patton Kizzire0%
Jake Knapp0%
Hideki Matsuyama0%
Mac Meissner0%
Matthieu Pavon0%
Marco Penge0%
Andrew Putnam0%
Chad Ramey0%
Kevin Roy0%
Ryan Ruffels0%
Matthias Schmid0%
Webb Simpson0%
Kevin Streelman0%
Dylan Wu0%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju0%
Player 00%
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Player 190%
Other0%

Market context

PGA Tour: Rocket Classic Winner — current market-implied probability: 99%. This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Rocket Classic tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Rocket Classic tournament based on the of…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for PGA Tour: Rocket Classic Winner. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Oliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto ReporterandEmma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial Journalist

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