PGA Tour: the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday Winner

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The Memorial Tournament presented by Workday takes place annually at Muirfield Village Golf Club in Dublin, Ohio, typically in early June. The 2026 edition will run 1–7 June, with the settlement window closing on 7 June at 00:00 UTC. The event is one of the PGA Tour's most prestigious invitational tournaments, historically attracting elite fields and often producing decisive outcomes that shift season-long standings.

The 0% implied probability reflects either an unlisted player field or genuine uncertainty about which named competitors will remain eligible by tournament week. Memorial winners since 2020 have included Jon Rahm (2023), Collin Morikawa (2021), and Patrick Cantlay (2021), suggesting that form-based volatility and injury status matter significantly. Recent Memorial fields have favoured players with proven links-style ball control and iron play; course history and spring fitness levels typically correlate with contention. If a listed player sustains injury, suspension, or withdrawal before 1 June 2026, that market resolves immediately to "No" under the stated rules.

Traders should monitor PGA Tour injury reports and official entry lists, which are usually published two weeks before the tournament. Spring 2026 form across the Players Championship and Masters will provide critical context for identifying likely contenders. Suspension or eligibility changes—particularly regarding any player ranked in the top 50 world rankings—could materially shift probabilities if they affect listed competitors. The final field confirmation typically arrives by late May, at which point any unlisted winner scenario becomes quantifiable.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Champions League Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Champions League Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Champions League Prediction?

Zero. Champions League Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Champions League Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.