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PGA Tour: Travelers Championship Winner

How the prediction market is pricing "PGA Tour: Travelers Championship Winner" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Scottie Scheffler 82% Viktor Hovland 10% Collin Morikawa 3% Wyndham Clark 3% Volume: $435K Liquidity: $901K Closes: 28 Jun 2026
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PGA Tour: Travelers Championship Winner

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
82% 18% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
82% 18% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Scottie Scheffler82%
Viktor Hovland10%
Collin Morikawa3%
Wyndham Clark3%
Matt Fitzpatrick1%
Akshay Bhatia1%
Sam Burns0%
Brian Campbell0%
Patrick Cantlay0%
Bud Cauley0%
Rickie Fowler0%
Brian Harman0%
Russell Henley0%
Tom Hoge0%
Benjamin James0%
Si Woo Kim0%
Jake Knapp0%
Min Woo Lee0%
Shane Lowry0%
Robert MacIntyre0%
Alexander Noren0%
Tony Finau0%
Alex Fitzpatrick0%
Mac Meissner0%
Andrew Novak0%
JT Poston0%
Aaron Rai0%
Eric Cole0%
Corey Conners0%
Jason Day0%
Nicolas Echavarria0%
Harris English0%
Tommy Fleetwood0%
Ryo Hisatsune0%
Kurt Kitayama0%
Maverick McNealy0%
Kristoffer Reitan0%
Alex Smalley0%
Brandt Snedeker0%
Justin Thomas0%
J.J. Spaun0%
Sam Stevens0%
Sepp Straka0%
Jackson Suber0%
Nick Taylor0%
Sahith Theegala0%
Gary Woodland0%
Ludvig Aberg0%
Daniel Berger0%
Keegan Bradley0%
Jacob Bridgeman0%
Ryan Fox0%
Ryan Gerard0%
Lucas Glover0%
Chris Gotterup0%
Ben Griffin0%
Harry Hall0%
Nicolai Hojgaard0%
Mark Hubbard0%
Sung-Jae Im0%
Michael Kim0%
Hideki Matsuyama0%
Denny McCarthy0%
Matt McCarty0%
Taylor Pendrith0%
Justin Rose0%
Xander Schauffele0%
Adam Scott0%
Player 00%
Player 10%
Player 30%
Player 70%
Player 80%
Player 90%
Player 100%
Player 110%
Player 120%
Player 130%
Other0%
Player 20%
Jordan Spieth0%
Jhonattan Vegas0%
Player 40%
Player 50%
Cameron Young0%
Keith Mitchell0%
Player 60%
Player 140%
Player 150%
Player 160%
Player 170%
Player 180%
Player 190%

Market context

The 2026 Travelers Championship at TPC River Highlands is a PGA Tour event where Scottie Scheffler leads by one shot after a suspended final round, with Collin Morikawa and Wyndham Clark close behind[3]. Defending champion Keegan Bradley returns, aiming to become the first player since 2002 to successfully defend the title, having won twice in the last three years[1]. Recent form players Sam Burns and J.T. Poston arrive with confidence following strong performances in the major championship stretch, while Jason Day is expected to play despite a back injury from the U.S. Open[1].

Historically, back-to-back wins at this event are rare; Keegan Bradley’s 2022–2023 and 2024–2025 dominance is an outlier, with Scottie Scheffler’s 2024 victory breaking a long gap since Xander Schauffele’s 2021–2022 reign[6]. The current 0% probability for any listed player reflects the market’s expectation that an unlisted contender—likely Scheffler, who is not on the original list—will win, triggering an “Other” resolution[3]. This mirrors 2024, when Scheffler won as an unlisted player after defeating Tom Kim in a playoff disrupted by climate protesters[5].

Traders should monitor official PGA Tour announcements confirming Scheffler’s eligibility and final round results, as any disqualification or tie-breaker rule could shift the outcome[4]. With the settlement window ending 28 June 2026, watch for updates on Day’s back injury status and whether Burns or Clark can close the gap, given their recent top-tier finishes[2]. The tournament’s $20 million purse and par-70 layout at 6,844 yards create high volatility, making late-round swings decisive[3].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for PGA Tour: Travelers Championship Winner. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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