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PGA Tour: Wyndham Championship Winner

"PGA Tour: Wyndham Championship Winner" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

Michael Brennan 77% Beau Hossler 17% Benjamin James 3% Sung-Jae Im 2% Volume: $264K Liquidity: $577K Closes: 9 Aug 2026
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PGA Tour: Wyndham Championship Winner

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
77% 23% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
77% 23% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Michael Brennan77%
Beau Hossler17%
Benjamin James3%
Sung-Jae Im2%
Tom Kim2%
Zach Bauchou1%
Patrick Cantlay1%
Bud Cauley1%
Joel Dahmen1%
Harry Hall1%
Rasmus Hojgaard1%
Matt McCarty1%
Alexander Noren1%
Kihei Akina0%
Daniel Berger0%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout0%
Chandler Blanchet0%
Keegan Bradley0%
Blades Brown0%
Daniel Brown0%
Brian Campbell0%
Rafael Campos0%
Ricky Castillo0%
Davis Chatfield0%
Luke Clanton0%
Eric Cole0%
Tyler Collet0%
Pierceson Coody0%
Trace Crowe0%
Cam Davis0%
Jason Day0%
Ze-Cheng Dou0%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart0%
Nick Dunlap0%
Nicolas Echavarria0%
Austin Eckroat0%
Harris English0%
A.J. Ewart0%
Tony Finau0%
Patrick Fishburn0%
Steven Fisk0%
Alex Fitzpatrick0%
Brice Garnett0%
Ryan Gerard0%
Doug Ghim0%
Lucas Glover0%
Max Greyserman0%
Ben Griffin0%
Emiliano Grillo0%
Brian Harman0%
Garrick Higgo0%
Joe Highsmith0%
Kensei Hirata0%
Ryo Hisatsune0%
Lee Hodges0%
Rico Hoey0%
Tom Hoge0%
Billy Horschel0%
Cooper Hrabak0%
Mark Hubbard0%
Mackenzie Hughes0%
Stephan Jaeger0%
Takumi Kanaya0%
Jeffrey Kang0%
Johnny Keefer0%
Michael Kim0%
Chris Kirk0%
Patton Kizzire0%
Brooks Koepka0%
Ben Kohles0%
Jackson Koivun0%
Christo Lamprecht0%
Henry Lebioda0%
Hao-Tong Li0%
David Lipsky0%
Peter Malnati0%
Hideki Matsuyama0%
Stefano Mazzoli0%
Denny McCarthy0%
Max McGreevy0%
Maverick McNealy0%
Mac Meissner0%
Keith Mitchell0%
Taylor Moore0%
William Mouw0%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen0%
Andrew Novak0%
Pontus Nyholm0%
Thorbjorn Olesen0%
Cheng Tsung Pan0%
John Parry0%
Matthieu Pavon0%
Taylor Pendrith0%
Marco Penge0%
Chandler Phillips0%
JT Poston0%
Aldrich Potgieter0%
Seamus Power0%
Andrew Putnam0%
Aaron Rai0%
Player 00%
Player 10%
Player 20%
Player 30%
Player 40%
Player 50%
Player 60%
Player 70%
Player 80%
Player 90%
Player 100%
Player 110%
Player 120%
Player 130%
Player 140%
Player 150%
Player 160%
Player 170%
Player 180%
Player 190%
Other0%

Market context

The Wyndham Championship is being played at Sedgefield Country Club in Greensboro, with the 2026 edition running from 6–9 August and serving as the PGA Tour’s regular-season finale. The field is strong for this stage of the schedule: the PGA Tour says it includes 18 players from the top 50 in the world ranking, six from the top 25 in FedExCup points, and several recent winners, including Cameron Young, Hideki Matsuyama and Aaron Rai.[8]

A 0% crowd-implied chance on an outright winner looks harsh only if the market is still treating this as a binary on a single favourite, because the event has already shown how much volatility comes from late withdrawals and replacements. Before the week began, the field saw multiple changes, including WD replacements for Kristoffer Reitan, Brendon Todd, Dan Brown, Michael Thorbjornsen, Patrick Cantlay, Garrick Higgo, Daniel Berger and Taylor Moore, while Si Woo Kim also withdrew from the full field listing.[1][3] That matters because Sedgefield is a short, scoreable par 70 where minor field changes can move prices quickly, especially when several players arrive in decent FedExCup position and others are chasing playoff safety rather than just the trophy.[9][12]

For traders, the key catalyst is not just the scoreboard but who survives the first 36 holes and whether any more late withdrawals land before the cut. The tournament’s own rules note a starting field of 144, eight sponsor exemptions, and Monday qualifiers filling the last places, so any fresh injury news, illness, or re-routing from next week’s schedule can still alter the live shape of the market.[4] PGA Tour and tournament field pages are the most relevant sources for confirmation of remaining entrants and any official changes.[1][4][8]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for PGA Tour: Wyndham Championship Winner. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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