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Plovdiv 3: Valerio Aboian vs Sebastian Sorger

"Plovdiv 3: Valerio Aboian vs Sebastian Sorger" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

Plovdiv 3: Valerio Aboian vs Sebastian Sorger Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Plovdiv 3: Valerio Aboian vs Sebastian Sorger Set 2 Winner 100% Plovdiv 3: Valerio Aboian vs Sebastian Sorger Match O/U 21.5 100% Plovdiv 3: Valerio Aboian vs Sebastian Sorger Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% Volume: $245K Liquidity: $55K Closes: 10 Sept 2026
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Plovdiv 3: Valerio Aboian vs Sebastian Sorger

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Plovdiv 3: Valerio Aboian vs Sebastian Sorger Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Plovdiv 3: Valerio Aboian vs Sebastian Sorger Set 2 Winner100%
Plovdiv 3: Valerio Aboian vs Sebastian Sorger Match O/U 21.5100%
Plovdiv 3: Valerio Aboian vs Sebastian Sorger Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Plovdiv 3: Valerio Aboian vs Sebastian Sorger Match O/U 22.5100%
Plovdiv 3: Valerio Aboian vs Sebastian Sorger Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
Plovdiv 3: Valerio Aboian vs Sebastian Sorger Match O/U 23.5100%
Plovdiv 3: Valerio Aboian vs Sebastian Sorger Total Sets: O/U 2.590%
Plovdiv 3: Valerio Aboian vs Sebastian Sorger59%
Completed Match50%
Plovdiv 3: Valerio Aboian vs Sebastian Sorger Set Handicap +/-1.510%
Plovdiv 3: Valerio Aboian vs Sebastian Sorger Set 2 O/U 8.50%
Plovdiv 3: Valerio Aboian vs Sebastian Sorger Set 1 Winner0%
Plovdiv 3: Valerio Aboian vs Sebastian Sorger Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Plovdiv 3: Valerio Aboian vs Sebastian Sorger Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Plovdiv 3: Valerio Aboian vs Sebastian Sorger Set 2 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to plovdiv 3: valerio aboian vs sebastian sorger. This market refers to the tennis match between Valerio Aboian and Sebastian Sorger in the Plovdiv 3, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valerio Aboi…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Plovdiv 3: Valerio Aboian vs Sebastian Sorger. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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