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US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse

How the prediction market is pricing "US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse Set 1 O/U 8.5 76% US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse Total Sets: O/U 3.5 67% US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse Match O/U 36.5 57% US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse Set 1 O/U 9.5 56% Volume: $76K Liquidity: $409K Closes: 10 Sept 2026
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US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
76% 24% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
76% 24% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse Set 1 O/U 8.576%
US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse Total Sets: O/U 3.567%
US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse Match O/U 36.557%
US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse Set 1 O/U 9.556%
US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse Match O/U 38.551%
Completed Match50%
US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse Set 2 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse Set 3 Winner50%
US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse Set 2 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse Set 4 Winner50%
US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse Set 2 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse Set 3 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse Set 3 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse Set 3 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse Set 4 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse Set 4 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse Set 4 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse Set 2 Winner49%
US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse Set 1 Winner49%
US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse48%
US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse Match O/U 40.548%
US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse Game Spread +/-1.548%
US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse Set Handicap +/-1.539%
US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse Set Handicap +/-1.534%
US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse Total Sets: O/U 4.530%
US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse Set 1 O/U 10.530%
US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse Set Handicap +/-2.519%
US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse Set Handicap +/-2.515%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, us open atp: benjamin bonzi vs ignacio buse stands at 76% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Benjamin Bonzi and Ignacio Buse in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resol…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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Related Topics

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