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Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fery vs James Duckworth

"Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fery vs James Duckworth" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fery vs James Duckworth Set 1 Winner 100% Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fery vs James Duckworth Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fery vs James Duckworth Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fery vs James Duckworth Match O/U 23.5 99% Volume: $188K Liquidity: $480K Closes: 22 Aug 2026
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Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fery vs James Duckworth

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fery vs James Duckworth Set 1 Winner100%
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fery vs James Duckworth Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fery vs James Duckworth Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fery vs James Duckworth Match O/U 23.599%
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fery vs James Duckworth Match O/U 22.590%
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fery vs James Duckworth Match O/U 21.566%
Completed Match50%
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fery vs James Duckworth Total Sets: O/U 2.550%
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fery vs James Duckworth48%
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fery vs James Duckworth Set Handicap +/-1.54%
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fery vs James Duckworth Set 2 Winner0%
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fery vs James Duckworth Set 2 O/U 8.50%
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fery vs James Duckworth Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fery vs James Duckworth Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fery vs James Duckworth Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fery vs James Duckworth. This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Fery and James Duckworth in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Fery'…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fery vs James Duckworth. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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