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Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor Fritz

How the prediction market is pricing "Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor Fritz" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor Fritz Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor Fritz Set Handicap +/-1.5 73% Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor Fritz Match O/U 23.5 64% Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor Fritz Match O/U 21.5 53% Volume: $266K Liquidity: $503K Closes: 8 Aug 2026
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Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor Fritz

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor Fritz Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor Fritz Set Handicap +/-1.573%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor Fritz Match O/U 23.564%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor Fritz Match O/U 21.553%
Completed Match50%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor Fritz Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor Fritz Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor Fritz Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor Fritz Match O/U 22.539%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor Fritz Set 2 Winner29%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor Fritz Total Sets: O/U 2.528%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor Fritz12%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor Fritz Set 1 Winner0%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor Fritz Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor Fritz Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor Fritz — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Taylor Fritz in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, originally scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 6:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Bran…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor Fritz. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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Related Topics

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