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Plovdiv 3: Oleg Prihodko vs Maxim Mrva

How the prediction market is pricing "Plovdiv 3: Oleg Prihodko vs Maxim Mrva" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Completed Match 100% Plovdiv 3: Oleg Prihodko vs Maxim Mrva Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Plovdiv 3: Oleg Prihodko vs Maxim Mrva Match O/U 21.5 100% Plovdiv 3: Oleg Prihodko vs Maxim Mrva Set 2 Winner 100% Volume: $118K Liquidity: $137K Closes: 7 Sept 2026
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Plovdiv 3: Oleg Prihodko vs Maxim Mrva

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
Plovdiv 3: Oleg Prihodko vs Maxim Mrva Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Plovdiv 3: Oleg Prihodko vs Maxim Mrva Match O/U 21.5100%
Plovdiv 3: Oleg Prihodko vs Maxim Mrva Set 2 Winner100%
Plovdiv 3: Oleg Prihodko vs Maxim Mrva Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
Plovdiv 3: Oleg Prihodko vs Maxim Mrva Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Plovdiv 3: Oleg Prihodko vs Maxim Mrva Match O/U 22.5100%
Plovdiv 3: Oleg Prihodko vs Maxim Mrva Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Plovdiv 3: Oleg Prihodko vs Maxim Mrva Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Plovdiv 3: Oleg Prihodko vs Maxim Mrva Match O/U 23.5100%
Plovdiv 3: Oleg Prihodko vs Maxim Mrva Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
Plovdiv 3: Oleg Prihodko vs Maxim Mrva Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
Plovdiv 3: Oleg Prihodko vs Maxim Mrva0%
Plovdiv 3: Oleg Prihodko vs Maxim Mrva Set 1 Winner0%
Plovdiv 3: Oleg Prihodko vs Maxim Mrva Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Plovdiv 3: Oleg Prihodko vs Maxim Mrva Set Handicap +/-1.50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Plovdiv 3: Oleg Prihodko vs Maxim Mrva. This market refers to the tennis match between Oleg Prihodko and Maxim Mrva in the Plovdiv 3, originally scheduled for August 31, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Oleg Prihodko' if Ole…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Plovdiv 3: Oleg Prihodko vs Maxim Mrva. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
and

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Related Topics

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