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Plovdiv 3: Daniel Siniakov vs Georgii Kravchenko

How the prediction market is pricing "Plovdiv 3: Daniel Siniakov vs Georgii Kravchenko" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Plovdiv 3: Daniel Siniakov vs Georgii Kravchenko Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Plovdiv 3: Daniel Siniakov vs Georgii Kravchenko Set 2 Winner 100% Plovdiv 3: Daniel Siniakov vs Georgii Kravchenko Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Plovdiv 3: Daniel Siniakov vs Georgii Kravchenko Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% Volume: $94K Liquidity: $66K Closes: 7 Sept 2026
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Plovdiv 3: Daniel Siniakov vs Georgii Kravchenko

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Plovdiv 3: Daniel Siniakov vs Georgii Kravchenko Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Plovdiv 3: Daniel Siniakov vs Georgii Kravchenko Set 2 Winner100%
Plovdiv 3: Daniel Siniakov vs Georgii Kravchenko Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Plovdiv 3: Daniel Siniakov vs Georgii Kravchenko Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
Plovdiv 3: Daniel Siniakov vs Georgii Kravchenko Match O/U 21.5100%
Plovdiv 3: Daniel Siniakov vs Georgii Kravchenko Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Plovdiv 3: Daniel Siniakov vs Georgii Kravchenko Match O/U 22.5100%
Plovdiv 3: Daniel Siniakov vs Georgii Kravchenko Match O/U 23.5100%
Plovdiv 3: Daniel Siniakov vs Georgii Kravchenko Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
Completed Match50%
Plovdiv 3: Daniel Siniakov vs Georgii Kravchenko23%
Plovdiv 3: Daniel Siniakov vs Georgii Kravchenko Set 1 Winner0%
Plovdiv 3: Daniel Siniakov vs Georgii Kravchenko Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Plovdiv 3: Daniel Siniakov vs Georgii Kravchenko Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Plovdiv 3: Daniel Siniakov vs Georgii Kravchenko Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Plovdiv 3: Daniel Siniakov vs Georgii Kravchenko Set 2 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to plovdiv 3: daniel siniakov vs georgii kravchenko. This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Siniakov and Georgii Kravchenko in the Plovdiv 3, originally scheduled for August 31, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Sini…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Plovdiv 3: Daniel Siniakov vs Georgii Kravchenko. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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Related Topics

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