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Mubadala Citi DC Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmane

How the prediction market is pricing "Mubadala Citi DC Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmane" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Mubadala Citi DC Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmane Set 1 Winner 100% Mubadala Citi DC Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmane Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Mubadala Citi DC Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmane Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% Mubadala Citi DC Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmane 88% Volume: $227K Liquidity: $562K Closes: 3 Aug 2026
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Mubadala Citi DC Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmane

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmane Set 1 Winner100%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmane Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmane Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmane88%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmane Set 2 Winner69%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmane Set Handicap +/-1.567%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmane Match O/U 21.558%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmane Match O/U 22.554%
Completed Match50%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmane Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmane Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmane Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmane Match O/U 23.533%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmane Total Sets: O/U 2.532%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmane Set Handicap +/-1.53%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmane Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmane. This market refers to the tennis match between Frances Tiafoe and Terence Atmane in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, originally scheduled for July 27, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Franc…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmane. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
and

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