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Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic

How the prediction market is pricing "Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Set 2 O/U 9.5 100% Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Set 2 O/U 10.5 100% Volume: $432K Liquidity: $180K Closes: 6 Jul 2026
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Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Set 2 Winner100%
Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Total Sets: O/U 3.575%
Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Set 4 Winner58%
Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Set Handicap +/-1.555%
Completed Match50%
Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Set 3 O/U 8.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Set 3 O/U 9.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Set 3 O/U 10.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Set 4 O/U 8.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Set 4 O/U 9.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Set 4 O/U 10.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Match O/U 40.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Match O/U 36.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Match O/U 38.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Total Sets: O/U 4.537%
Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Set 3 Winner32%
Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Set Handicap +/-2.526%
Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic21%
Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Set 1 Winner0%
Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic. This market refers to the tennis match between Yibing Wu and Novak Djokovic in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yibing Wu' if Yibin…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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Related Topics

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