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Boise State vs. Oregon

How the prediction market is pricing "Boise State vs. Oregon" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

1Q Moneyline 100% Boise State 1H O/U 4.5 100% Boise State 1H O/U 6.5 100% Boise State O/U 7.5 100% Volume: $359K Liquidity: $201K Closes: 5 Sept 2026
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Boise State vs. Oregon

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1Q Moneyline100%
Boise State 1H O/U 4.5100%
Boise State 1H O/U 6.5100%
Boise State O/U 7.5100%
Boise State O/U 10.5100%
Boise State O/U 13.5100%
O/U 34.593%
Boise State O/U 16.591%
O/U 40.590%
O/U 46.577%
O/U 50.566%
O/U 51.560%
Spread -3.558%
Spread -6.557%
O/U 52.555%
Spread -4.554%
Spread -5.551%
1H Spread -15.551%
2H Spread -6.551%
Spread -0.550%
Spread -1.550%
Spread -2.550%
Spread -8.550%
O/U 32.550%
O/U 36.550%
O/U 38.550%
O/U 42.550%
O/U 44.550%
O/U 48.550%
O/U 54.550%
O/U 56.550%
O/U 60.550%
O/U 62.550%
O/U 66.550%
O/U 68.550%
O/U 72.550%
2H Moneyline50%
1H Spread -12.550%
1H Spread -16.550%
1H Moneyline50%
2Q Spread -5.550%
2Q Spread -6.550%
2Q Spread -7.550%
2Q Spread -8.550%
2Q Spread -9.550%
2Q Moneyline50%
3Q Spread -4.550%
3Q Spread -5.550%
3Q Spread -6.550%
3Q Spread -7.550%
3Q Spread -8.550%
3Q Moneyline50%
4Q Moneyline50%
Oregon O/U 31.550%
Oregon O/U 34.550%
Oregon O/U 37.550%
Oregon O/U 40.550%
Oregon O/U 43.550%
Oregon 1H O/U 18.550%
Oregon 1H O/U 20.550%
Oregon 1H O/U 22.550%
Boise State 1H O/U 8.550%
1H Spread -11.550%
2H Spread -7.550%
2H Spread -8.550%
2H Spread -9.550%
2H Spread -10.550%
2H Spread -11.550%
Boise State O/U 19.550%
Boise State 2H O/U 4.550%
Boise State 2H O/U 6.550%
Boise State 2H O/U 8.550%
Oregon 2H O/U 14.550%
Oregon 2H O/U 16.550%
Oregon 2H O/U 18.550%
2H Spread -12.550%
Oregon 1H O/U 19.550%
Oregon 1H O/U 21.550%
Oregon 1H O/U 23.550%
Oregon O/U 4.550%
Boise State O/U 1.550%
Jordon Davison: Anytime Touchdown50%
Dierre Hill Jr.: Anytime Touchdown50%
Evan Stewart: Anytime Touchdown50%
Dakorien Moore: Anytime Touchdown50%
Dante Moore: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jamari Johnson: Anytime Touchdown50%
Dylan Riley: Anytime Touchdown50%
Da'Jaun Riggs: Anytime Touchdown50%
Sire Gaines: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jeremiah McClellan: Anytime Touchdown50%
Iverson Hooks: Anytime Touchdown50%
Maddux Madsen: Anytime Touchdown50%
Cameron Bates: Anytime Touchdown50%
Gatlin Bair: Anytime Touchdown50%
Juelz Goff: Anytime Touchdown50%
Ben Ford: Anytime Touchdown50%
Rasean Jones: Anytime Touchdown50%
Kendre Harrison: Anytime Touchdown50%
Quinton Brown: Anytime Touchdown50%
Matt Wagner: Anytime Touchdown50%
Darren Morris: Anytime Touchdown50%
Austin Terry: Anytime Touchdown50%
4Q Spread -3.550%
4Q Spread -4.550%
4Q Spread -5.550%
4Q Spread -6.550%
4Q Spread -7.550%
Oregon O/U 32.550%
Oregon O/U 35.550%
Oregon O/U 38.550%
Oregon O/U 41.550%
Oregon O/U 44.550%
4Q Spread -8.550%
Spread -7.540%
1H Spread -14.539%
Spread -10.534%
O/U 58.533%
Spread -13.528%
Boise State vs. Oregon27%
1H Spread -13.526%
Spread -31.525%
Spread -14.522%
Spread -34.520%
O/U 64.520%
Spread -16.518%
Spread -17.514%
O/U 70.513%
Spread -20.511%
Spread -21.57%
Spread -27.55%
Spread: Oregon (-24.5)4%
1Q Spread -4.50%
1Q Spread -5.50%
1Q Spread -6.50%
1Q Spread -7.50%
1Q Spread -8.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of boise state vs. oregon. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 3:30PM ET: If Boise State wins, the market will resolve to "Boise State". If Oregon wins, the market will resolv…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1Q Moneyline at 100% for "Boise State vs. Oregon".

1Q Moneyline 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $359K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Boise State vs. Oregon. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
Oliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto ReporterandEmma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial Journalist

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