Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
98% | 2% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
98% | 2% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 33.5 | 98% |
| East Carolina O/U 6.5 | 98% |
| Spread -7.5 | 95% |
| O/U 39.5 | 95% |
| Spread -10.5 | 93% |
| Spread -13.5 | 91% |
| East Carolina O/U 5.5 | 91% |
| East Carolina O/U 4.5 | 91% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 90% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 90% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 90% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 90% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 90% |
| Alabama O/U 34.5 | 88% |
| Spread -14.5 | 87% |
| Spread -16.5 | 87% |
| O/U 45.5 | 86% |
| Spread -17.5 | 83% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 78% |
| O/U 51.5 | 77% |
| O/U 52.5 | 75% |
| Spread -20.5 | 75% |
| Alabama O/U 37.5 | 75% |
| EJ Crowell: Anytime Touchdown | 75% |
| East Carolina O/U 9.5 | 73% |
| O/U 54.5 | 72% |
| O/U 53.5 | 72% |
| Spread -21.5 | 72% |
| Alabama O/U 39.5 | 72% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 69% |
| O/U 55.5 | 66% |
| Spread -24.5 | 63% |
| O/U 57.5 | 63% |
| East Carolina O/U 13.5 | 62% |
| East Carolina O/U 12.5 | 59% |
| Spread -27.5 | 55% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 55% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 53% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 52% |
| Spread: Alabama (-28.5) | 51% |
| Alabama O/U 45.5 | 51% |
| Alabama O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| O/U 37.5 | 50% |
| O/U 41.5 | 50% |
| O/U 43.5 | 50% |
| O/U 47.5 | 50% |
| O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| O/U 65.5 | 50% |
| O/U 67.5 | 50% |
| O/U 71.5 | 50% |
| O/U 73.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Alabama O/U 40.5 | 50% |
| Alabama O/U 43.5 | 50% |
| Alabama O/U 46.5 | 50% |
| Alabama 1H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Alabama 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Alabama 1H O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Alabama O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Alabama O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| Alabama O/U 42.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina 1H O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina 1H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina 1H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina 2H O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Alabama 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Alabama 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Alabama 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Alabama 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Alabama 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Alabama 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| Alabama 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina 2H O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina 2H O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina 2H O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| East Carolina O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Hill: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kevin Riley: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Keelon Russell: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Lotzeir Brooks: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kaleb Edwards: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Ashton Gray: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Derek Meadows: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Rico Scott: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Josh Ford: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| TJ Engleman: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Mitch Griffis: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Michael Allen: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Brock Spalding: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Ismael Smith Flores: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jeremiah Melvin: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Tyler Johnson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Dillon Lorick: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| O/U 61.5 | 49% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 49% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 45% |
| Spread -31.5 | 44% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 44% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 43% |
| East Carolina O/U 16.5 | 42% |
| O/U 63.5 | 41% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 38% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 37% |
| Spread -34.5 | 35% |
| 2H Spread -15.5 | 35% |
| O/U 69.5 | 23% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 10% |
| East Carolina vs. Alabama | 1% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 98% probability to east carolina vs. alabama. In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 12:00PM ET: If East Carolina wins, the market will resolve to "East Carolina". If Alabama wins, the market will resolve to "Alabama"…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $187K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for East Carolina vs. Alabama. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
- Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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